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This Cincinnati vs. Louisville free pick is courtesy of Pregame.com, for all your sports handicapping needs and plenty of free College Football predictions.
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The Louiville Cardinals welcome the Cincinnati Bearcats into town for an ESPN clash starting at 8:00 EDT. The Cardinals are playing good football right now, while the Bearcats are trying to get past their terrible start to the season. Offense should be plentiful tonight, especially with such a competitive game expected. Cincinnati is a 3 point road favorite tonight, with a total of 58 points expected.
Very quietly, Louisville has played sound football over the past 3 weeks. To no surprise, they have won their past 3 games ATS. Louisville is 3-2 both SU and ATS this year. The Cardinals have revenge on their minds, as they lost last year in blowout fashion to Cincinnati. The Cardinals are very balanced on offense, as they have a top 45 passing and rushing offense overall. Louisville is averaging 218 rushing YPG this season, 18th best in the nation. RB Bilal Powell has rushed for nearly 700 YDS this season, including 7 TD's in an outstanding season. QB Adam Froman is playing well, as he's thrown for more than 1,175 YDS and 9 TD's while directing an offense that is averaging 31.4 PPG. Defensively, the Cardinals are coming off a performance where they shut out Memphis. For the season, Louisville is only allowing 19 PPG, 32nd best in the country. The Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win. Louisville is 4-1 ATS against a team with a losing record. The Cardinals are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games in October. The Cardinals are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog. Louisville is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 Friday games.
The Cardinals are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 conference games. The Over is 4-1 in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Cincinnati is hoping October is far kinder to them than September was. The Bearcats blew out Miami of Ohio 45-3 SU in their last game, proving that their bye week leading up to that game was well timed. Cincinnati clearly has the talent to be a nationally ranked team, despite the loss of all world coach Brian Kelly. Cincinnati is 2-3 both SU and ATS overall this season. The Bearcats have been the listed underdog in both road games they've played this year, going 0-2 both SU and ATS. The Bearcats still have an explosive offense, as they rank in the top 45 in both rushing and passing YPG. QB Zach Collaros has thrown for nearly 1,200 YDS this season, along with 12 TD's. Collaros leads an offense that is averaging 29.4 PPG this season. Against quality competition, Cincinnati has struggled with stopping offenses. Against an upstart offense like Louisville, the Bearcats will have to play their best game of the season defensively to win. The Bearcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in October. Cincinnati is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 Friday games overall. The Bearcats are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
The Bearcats are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win. The Over is 11-3-1 in their last 15 road games against a team with a winning home record.
Pregame.com projects the final score to be 34-31 in favor of the Louisville Cardinals. The Over 58 points is the Total of the Day! - Johnny Detroit, Gambling911.com
