Indianapolis Colts vs. Washington Redskins Free Pick

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The Washington Redskins welcome the Indianapolis Colts into town tonight for a primetime game on NBC starting at 8:20 EDT. The Redskins have been one of the surprises of the season, while the Colts have been a disappointment. This should be a very competitive game amongst two of the most popular franchises in the NFL. The Colts are -3 point road favorites tonight, with a total of 43.5 points expected.

Washington is at the top of the competitive NFC East division standings with an overall record of 3-2 both SU and ATS this year. The Redskins have had some improbable wins this season, thanks to twice as many takeaways than giveaways. This Redskins team has a winning record despite have the worst defense in the NFL so far this season. Washington is allowing opponents to average 410 YPG, one of only 2 teams allowing more than 400 YPG. Thanks to their takeaways, Washington is allowing 18.4 PPG, 9th best in the NFL. The Redskins have played a brutal schedule this year, as they will be playing their 5th game this season as the listed underdog. QB Donovan McNabb has done a great job leading this Redskins team, as they finally have the leader they've desperately needed. McNabb has thrown for more than 1,300 YDS this season, including 4 TD's. Washington is averaging 249 YPG through the air, 7th best in the NFL.  The Redskins are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS win. Washington is 5-12 ATS in their last 17 home games.

The Redskins are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 home games against a team with a winning road record. The Under is 13-5 in their last 18 home games.

Key Injuries: DT Albert Haynesworth (personal) is QUESTIONABLE.

Whenever you play Indianapolis, you must be ready to deal with QB Peyton Manning and his passing attack. This year is no exception, as Manning is tied for the NFL in passing TD's and 3rd in passing YPG. Manning has 11 TD's and has thrown for more than 1,600 YDS. Manning's main target has been WR Reggie Wayne, who has 531 YDS receiving, 2nd most in the NFL. Wayne isn't the only receiving threat, as there are numerous others including TE Dallas Clark. Despite an elite passing attack, Indianapolis has one of the worst rushing offenses in the NFL. The Colts are averaging 79.8 rushing YPG this season, 4st worst in the NFL. Defensively, the Colts will have to play better on the road as they've allowed 2 of their 3 opponents to score more than 30 PTS. Indianapolis has struggled playing in Washington, as they haven't won SU in their past 5 games playing in Washington D.C., dating back to 1969. The Colts are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games against a team with a winning home record. Indianapolis is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October. The Colts are 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 games following a SU win.

The Colts are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a road favorite. The Over is 5-2 in their last 7 games in October.

Pregame.com projects the final score to be 27-24 in favor of the Indianapolis Colts. The Over 43.5 is the Total of the Day!