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The Steelers-Saints spread opened as a PICK and the folks at SBG Global still had Saints as the 1-point favorite coming into this Halloween night showdown in New Orleans. Even betting action was being recorded on the spread Saturday and Gambling911.com does not anticipate much of a line move before game time (though a handful of books were moving up to -1.5). One thing that could scare the online bookmakers is the TOTAL, listed at 44. More than 85 percent of those betting on the total were on the OVER.
For sports bettors, the Steelers underdog status certainly has some terrific value. They are 7-1 Against The Spread as underdogs over the last 3 years. As one might imagine, it is especially rare for the Steelers to have been in that position over that period of time.
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While the Steelers are looking like potential Super Bowl contenders early on with a 5-1 record, the reigning Super Bowl champs are looking like anything but. The Saints were stunned last weekend at home by the big underdog Cleveland Browns. New Orleans comes into this game with an unimpressive 4-3 record.
"We're all in the midst of trying to put our finger on what exactly is going on," Quarterback Drew Brees said after throwing his 10th pick in the five-game stretch -- one fewer than he had last season. "We know the type of team we have. We know the type of work ethic we have. The effort is there. Guys want to win. Guys want to be great."
While the Saints are 9-1 Against The Spread in non-conference games, there is one standout exception. They are only 5-14 ATS against the AFC North division since 1992. That’s just FIVE wins out of Twenty-Nine over the last 20 years – yet another mouth watering stat for Pittsburgh Steelers backers.
With the line the say it is, an outright win by either team should cover the spread.
The Steelers have played competitively on the road, going 5-0 ATS vs. teams with winning records. That stat is offset somewhat by New Orlean’s ability to go 4-0 ATS at home vs. teams with winning records.
Some other important trends to consider before betting on the Steelers-Saints spread:
The Saints are 12-3 ATS following a Straight Up loss.
The Saints are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
New Orleans is 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Dan Shapiro, Gambling911.com
