Monday Night Football: Ravens-Texans Spread Steady at -3

Submitted by Dan Shapiro on

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Dan Shapiro

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The Ravens-Texans spread for their Monday Night Football showdown has remained at a steady -3 in favor of the visiting Ravens throughout the week.  And just like the other game now being played Monday Night, the Giants vs. Vikings, this one too was getting lopsided action.  The Baltimore spread was getting just shy of 80 percent of the action.  The money line was getting over 70 percent of the action in favor of Baltimore.  Total betting was 60 percent in favor of the OVER 46. 

The underachieving Texans come into this game two wins below .500 and 3 games out of the AFC South race from Jacksonville, which won its game against Oakland this Sunday.

The Ravens are very much still in the Playoffs hunt with 8 wins but 2 games down from the division leading Steelers.  A win Monday Night will put them 1 game behind Pittsburgh.  The Steelers easily beat Cincinnati on Sunday. 

Let’s now look at some important betting trends for this game below.

Baltimore last beat Houston by a score of 41-13 in 2008. 

When playing against a team with a losing record, the Ravens are 10-2 ATS (edge: Ravens).

The Ravens are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following an Against The Spread loss.  Texas is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss. 

The Ravens are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games as a road favorite while the Texans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.  They are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog however. 

Houston is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall. 

Baltimore only allows an average of 16.8 points per game.  They have only given up 36 points in the last three weeks. Houston gives up an average of 27 points per game.  Adding these two numbers together we get 43, which is under 46.  That said, in the last 4 home games with the exception of Tennessee, Houston has allowed an average of around 30 points. 

The Under is 5-1 in Ravens last 6 games as a road favorite.  The Under is 10-4-1 in Texans last 15 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

- Dan Shapiro, Gambling911.com

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