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After opening at -3, the Ravens-Browns spread has hit -4 in favor of Baltimore on the road. This is a crucial game for Baltimore and a meaningless game for Cleveland outside of the pride factor. The Ravens were among the most bet on teams in the NFL coming into this second to last weekend of the regular season. Almost all the betting action on the spread was going Baltimore’s way (over 95 percent in fact). All the money line action was likewise going towards the Ravens. 60 percent of those betting the total were on the OVER 39.
While Baltimore should easily get into the Playoffs, they will be looking to win their respective AFC North division. They are currently tied with the Pittsburgh Steelers for the lead but hold the tie-breaker. Both teams finish the regular season with “soft” schedules. Of course, that didn’t exactly mean much to the Steelers last season.
"It was key to get our 10th win. Now we have to get our 11th," Ravens head coach John Harbaugh said. "It's going to be a tough, tough game against the Cleveland Browns. ... It's always a challenge playing at their place."
Let’s review some important Ravens-Browns betting trends below.
Baltimore has won their last five games against Cleveland. They have covered four of those. Each of those last five games were won by 7 or more points.
The Ravens are 13-4 Against The Spread vs. a team with a losing record.
The Ravens are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games as a road favorite and, even worse, are just 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0. The Browns, on the other hand, are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
The Browns are 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 games following a ATS loss.
Cleveland is 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
The Browns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Gambling911.com has determined that the line on this game should be Baltimore -6.
- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com
