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Today we like the St. Louis Cardinals as a very slight -107 favorite vs. Cincinnati on the road.
The Cardinals had won three games against Cincinnati previous to their last loss.
St. Louis is 20-7 in their last 27 road games.
Lance Lynn, starting for St. Louis, is 17-3 against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
More important stats to consider:
The Cardinals are 7-1 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
St. Louis is 12-2 in their last 14 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
The Cardinals are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
St. Louis is 5-1 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
The Cardinals are 8-0 in Lynn’s last 8 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cardinals are 18-3 in Lynn’s last 21 starts vs. National League Central.
The Reds are 2-8 in Bronson Arroyo's last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
The Reds are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
We would be remiss in pointing out that Arroyo has pitched especially well for Cincinnati.
Tampa Bay -140 - Chris Tillman is 1-5 vs. Tampa Bay with an ERA of 4.99 and a WHIP of 1.336 while Matt Moore is 4-2 when starting against Baltimore with an ERA of 1.89 and a WHIP of 1.440. The Rays are 12-2 in Moore's last 14 starts.
The Rays have won their last five games against Baltimore and Tampa Bay is 10-3 in their last 13 overall games.
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- Dan Shapiro, Gambling911.com
