Where Can I Bet on Dayton vs. Stanford?
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DAYTON FLYERS (25-10) vs. STANFORD CARDINAL (23-12)
Sportsbook.ag Line & Total: Stanford -3 & 133
After pulling off upsets in two consecutive rounds, either 10-seed Stanford and 11-seed Dayton will see their Cinderella run continue as the two meet in the South Region semifinals on Thursday night.
Stanford first took down New Mexico in the Round of 64 and then shocked No. 2 seed Kansas 60-57 to reach the Sweet 16. The Cardinal’s defense gave up 55.0 PPG in those two contests, improving the team to 19-12-2 ATS this season. They are 3-3-2 ATS on neutral courts and 8-3-1 ATS (11-3 SU) against non-conference opponents. Dayton reached the Sweet 16 with wins against sixth-seeded Ohio State and No. 3 seed Syracuse, and has now covered in six of its past seven contests. The Flyers are 19-12 ATS overall and 6-2 (SU and ATS) on neutral courts this season, and are an impressive 10-3 ATS against non-conference foes and 7-3 (SU and ATS) as underdogs. Like Stanford, Dayton has played ultra-stingy defense so far in the Big Dance, yielding just 56.0 PPG through their first two games. Both teams have positive betting trends for this contest, as the Flyers are 28-12 ATS versus good defensive teams (42% FG or less allowed) under head coach Archie Miller, while Stanford is 11-3 ATS after 15+ games this season versus teams who average 6 or fewer SPG.
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Dayton’s defensive performance thus far contrasts its inconsistent play during the season, giving up 67.0 PPG (91st in Div. I) on 43.9% shooting this season. The team does have great potential on the offensive end, however, with 73.4 PPG (98th in Div. I) on 46.6% shooting (60th in Div. I). No Flyers player averages more than 12.5 PPG, led by junior SG Jordan Sibert (12.4 PPG), who is knocking down an impressive 43% of his threes this year. He is just 4-of-13 from deep so far in the Big Dance though, averaging 9.5 PPG in the two contests. Six-foot-7 senior PF Devin Oliver (11.9 PPG, 7.5 RPG, 2.4 APG) is the team’s top rebounder and passer, helping Sibert threaten from the perimeter with 1.1 threes per game. Sophomore SF Dyshawn Pierre (11.2 PPG, 5.7 RPG) is also a solid shooter (40% threes) and rounds out the team’s double-digit scorers. He’s averaging 13.0 PPG and 7.0 RPG so far in the NCAAs. SGs Vee Sanford (9.9 PPG) and Khari Price (6.5 PPG) join Sibert in the backcourt for this team that regularly plays 11 men.
Stanford’s defensive performance has been a big step up from its play all season, where it has allowed opponents to score 67.9 PPG (114th in nation) and 34.9% threes, but has limited teams to a mere 41.9% FG overall thanks to a strong 4.2 BPG (100th in Div. I). The offense is very similar to Dayton’s scoring 73.5 PPG (94th in Div. I) on 46.4% shooting (69th in Div. I). Unlike the Flyers, however, they have a clear top scorer in SG Chasson Randle (18.9 PPG), who is hitting 40.1% threes this season. He turned it over a whopping seven times against Kansas in Sunday's win, but swiped six steals and was a big reason why the Jayhawks shot 32.8% FG and 31.3% threes in the game. Swingman Anthony Brown (12.6 PPG, 5.0 RPG) and PF Josh Huestis (11.3 PPG, 8.2 RPG) both have size but the ability to shoot from all over the court, helping create space for Randle on the perimeter. Senior SF Dwight Powell (13.9 PPG, 6.8 RPG) joins Huestis down low and rounds out the crew of double-digit scorers, all of whom average 30+ minutes per game. Junior C Stefan Nastic (7.1 PPG, 2.8 RPG) is also an important asset in the post, as he has shown this tournament, averaging 10.0 PPG on 82% shooting through the first two games.
- Carrie Stroup, Gambling911.com