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Gambling911.com has your Blue Jays vs. Orioles series betting pick and a DFS play for Monday.
Pitching:
Ubaldo Jimenez He’s 2-2 on the season thus far but only lasted four innings in Wednesday's loss to the Mets. Overall he has pitched well in his first few starts this season.
Yes, it’s true that Jimenez has allowed just 27 hits off of 149 at bats against the current Blue Jays roster, resulting in an impressive .181 ERA. On the other hand, he gave up four runs in five innings on April 22 to this same team in a loss.
What stands out most here is that Jimenez has yet to yield an earned run in 14 frames at home and, with Baltimore only a -120 favorite at home, we’ll take it.
The later may not necessarily be the norm though as Jimenez only allowed 2 hits and 2 runs in 5 innings against the Blue Jays last September 16. He permitted 3 hits and 2 runs on June 13 with 6 innings pitched.
Unfortunately, to start of the season last year, Baltimore went 3-12 and Jimenez came unglued April 10 allowing 5 runs off of 10 hits. That was the most number of hits he permitted all season.
Much of that damage was inflicted by the likes of Colby Rasmus (a homer and double) and Brett Lawry (a single and homerun), neither of whom are still on this team. As such, historic stats may be a bit misleading.
Marco Estrada – The odds of Estrada pitching into the 5th inning with minimal damage are quite slim. He just joined the starting rotation and, in 4.2 innings, managed to give up 8 hits and 5 runs against the Yankees.
Estrada served up a league-worst 29 homers last season, which would explain the 8.5 total on today’s game.
2nd Base:
Devon Travis has continued his torrid start at the plate with his first career grand slam and his seventh home run of the season. He’s been inching up towards $3500.
- Dan Shapiro, Gambling911.com
