Free NCAA Tournament Pick: Sunday March 22, 2009
Gambling911.com's free NCAA Tournament pick for Sunday March 22, 2009 is on Arizona versus Cleveland State, but not for the game.
We like Arizona as the -1 ½ favorite in the first half at BetUS.com where they hold a record of 9-0 over the last two seasons in March games. That is a pretty significant stat this time of year.
The No. 12-seeded Wildcats (20-13), derided as an undeserving at-large entry, defied critics by beating Utah 84-71 in the first round.
"They're playing for something," Cleveland State coach Gary Waters said Saturday. "People are saying they don't belong, and I think they're trying to show the world they belong."
Waters pointed out what his Wildcats are up against.
"It's another talent that we have to deal with," Waters said. "They also play a lot of zone, so you're going to have to hit some shots.
"They're a tough team, and they're a good defensive team."
Both Cleveland State and the Arizona Wildcats are two double-digit-seeded teams that upset their opponents. Arizona was the second lowest seeded team to do so after Cleveland State.
The Wildcats are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning percent above .600; 7-2 ATS in their last 9 NCAA Tournament games; 12-4 ATS in their last 16 neutral site games as a favorite and are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games overall.
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Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com