Patriots vs. Giants Betting Line at New England -7
Carrie Stroup here with your Patriots vs. Giants betting line that has New England as a -7 home favorite. The total was set at a high 54.5.
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (8-0) at NEW YORK GIANTS (5-4)
For the first time since their classic battle in Super Bowl 46, the Patriots and Giants will square off on Sunday at MetLife Stadium.
The Patriots (8-0 SU, 5-1-2 ATS) have been as dominant as ever this season, winning four times by at least 17 points, including last Sunday's 27-10 romp of the Redskins where they rushed for a season-high 166 yards. They’ve trailed in the fourth quarter only once this year (Jets in Week 7) and have thrown for at least 245 yards in every game.
The Giants (5-4 SU, 4-4-1 ATS) have struggled to find a rhythm as of late, alternating losses and wins over the past four weeks. Last Sunday, four Josh Brown field goals and three fumble recoveries by the defense guided the G-Men to a 32-18 victory.
Head-to-head history, especially recently, favors New York, though the trends historically favor New England. The Giants are 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS during Tom Brady’s career, one of the few teams the future Hall of Famer has struggled with. The Giants are the only team the Patriots have not beaten SU since the beginning of the calendar year 2008. But New England is 58-38 ATS when holding a team between 75 and 100 rushing yards since 1992, which is a range the Giants have been in seven times this season. The Pats are 9-2 ATS over the past two years when throwing for more than 300 yards, including 4-1 ATS this season, and they are 107-76 ATS, including 75-48 ATS in the second half of the season, when playing a team with a winning record since 1992.
The Patriots are clicking on all cylinders offensively, averaging 34.5 PPG (1st in NFL) and 420 YPG (2nd in NFL). QB Tom Brady is having a monster year, throwing for at least 247 yards in every game and totaling 2,709 yards (339 YPG) with 22 touchdowns and only two interceptions.
With RB Dion Lewis (622 total yards) done for the season, RB LeGarrette Blount (447 rush yds, 4.6 YPC, 5 TD) will continue to shoulder a huge workload. Last week, Blount carried the ball 29 times for 129 yards (4.4 YPC) and a touchdown. The offense’s five turnovers (fewest in NFL) have also contributed to a masterful TO differential of +7 (T-2nd in league).
The New England defense has succeeded as well, allowing only 89.3 YPG on the ground (3rd in NFL) and 334 total YPG (8th in league). The Pats’ three non-victories ATS this season came in the only three games when they allowed more than 350 total yards, a mark the Giants have surpassed four times this season.
New York has averaged a subpar 349.7 YPG (21st in the NFL) and 96.7 rushing YPG (24th in NFL), but is still scoring a hefty 27.4 PPG (5th in the league). QB Eli Manning has thrown for 2,339 yards (260 YPG, 6.9 YPA), 19 TD and only 6 INT, and he has always played well in this matchup. Manning is 3-1 SU (4-0 ATS) in his career versus New England, throwing for 263 YPG (7.3 YPA), 9 TD and 3 INT.
His top target has been WR Odell Beckham Jr. (759 rec yds, 7 TD) who had 17 passes thrown his way last week, catching nine of those for 105 yards. New England will try to do whatever it can to keep Beckham's hands off the football.
The Giants defense reads like no other book in the league. They have allowed 422.8 YPG and recorded just nine sacks (both last in league), but have also recorded 13 INT, scored four defensive touchdowns and forced 20 turnovers (all tied for 1st in NFL). If the Giants front seven can find a way to get to Brady, who has been sacked 18 times, and the secondary can make his receivers somewhat uncomfortable, then Big Blue could once again play spoiler to the Patriots come Sunday.
- Carrie Stroup, Gambling911.com Senior Reporter
