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- Cincinnati is 7-1 in the last 8 games facing Philadelphia
- The OVER is 11-4 in the last 15 games of this series
- Aaron Nola’s limited experience facing Reds batters has resulted in just three hits on 21 at bats
- Phillies hitters are 12-4 in their last 16 versus right-handed starters
You can bet the Reds-Phillies series online where Philadelphia was coming in as the -160 favorite and Cincinnati at +145. The total was sitting at 7.5, which is slightly lower than in recent meetings between these teams where five of the last six games featured totals of 8 or higher.
PITCHING MATCHUP: Reds RH Tim Adleman (1-0, 2.45 ERA) vs. Phillies RH Aaron Nola (2-2, 3.13)
Tim Adleman has been strong in his first two starts after joining this club from Triple A-Louisville. Aaron Nola, meanwhile, has recorded four quality starts following a shaky debut this season.
Both starters are fresh to the Major Leagues with only Nola having some limited experience versus the Reds opposing batters. With a limited sample size of just 21 at bats, Nola has allowed a mere three hits and one home run off those Reds he has faced. Eugenio Suarez scored that homer but, lucky for Nola, has not been particularly effective during the month of May. It should be noted that Nola has yet to face a number of the players in Cincinnati’s starting lineup Saturday.
Nola has struggled at home, allowing a career-high seven runs over five innings in an 8-1 loss to Washington his last start in Philadelphia on April 16. But since that time he has gone 2-0 with an impressive 1.33 ERA.
Cincinnati is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings but are just 0-4 in their last four games against the National League East.
Philadelphia is 12-4 in their last 16 games vs. right-handed starters.
The OVER is 11-4 in the last 15 meetings.
The UNDER is 7-2 in Nola’s last 9 starts overall and 7-0 in the Phillies last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Dan Shapiro, Gambling911.com
