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You can bet the Angels-Astros Wednesday night game where the line was -153 at BetOnline favoring Houston. The Angels featured a line of +142. The total was coming in at 8 or 8.5 depending on the sportsbook.
Prior to Tuesday night’s game (still in progress at the time this was going to press), the Angels were 2-7 in the last 9 meetings in Houston.
LA’s Matt Shoemaker was sharp in Friday's no-decision versus the Athletics, allowing one earned run with seven strikeouts compared to just one walk across six innings.
He’s allowed no more than two runs in five of his last six starts. Five of those last six starts have resulted in total runs scored UNDER the current total.
This is an interesting trend in that the UNDER is 10-2 in Houston’s last 12 games overall.
The UNDER is 5-1 in Lance McCullers' last 6 starts overall and he hasn’t allowed more than three runs in five of his last six starts. Five of those games also resulted in fewer runs than the current total.
Sure the UNDER looks appetizing here but four of the last five games in this series have gone OVER the current total.
It’s a tough call to be certain as the individual pitching stats cry out UNDER, especially with neither of these pitchers earning the win their last start.
WE WILL TAKE THE UNDER USING THE 8.5 TOTAL HERE
- Dan Shapiro, Gambling911.com
