Casey Affleck Sexual Harassment Claims Make Him a Risky Oscar Bet

Written by:
C Costigan
Published on:
Feb/24/2017

Casey Affleck is the odds-on favorite to win Best Actor for his critically acclaimed performance in Manchester By The Sea.  But sexual harassment allegations filed by two female colleagues of Affleck years ago do threaten to turn off some Academy members, especially with Denzel Washington enjoying short odds for his role in “Fences”.

Though settled in 2010 with Affleck claiming on wrongdoing, Cinematographer Magdalena Gorka and producer Amanda White alleged that behind the scenes Affleck verbally and sexually harassed them, even asserting that the actor crawled into the bed of Gorka uninvited.  Each of the women sought $2 million.

“This is the year Hollywood liberals took great offense to newly elected US President Donald Trump’s ‘grab them by the p****’ comment caught on tape years ago,” notes Gambling911.com Senior Editor Payton O’Brien, who notes that the website is pushing the idea of a Denzel Washington win that would pay out $11 for every $10 bet. 

“It’s also the year following a boycott, albeit limited, by some of last year’s Oscars ceremony due to frustrations over limited nominations of African Americans,” O’Brien added.  “Denzel Washington is an Academy favorite and offers the perfect medicine to put those grievances to rest perhaps.”

This is not to take anything away from Affleck, whose Manchester By The Sea performance has made him the near 1/2 odds favorite.

“People love him in Manchester and he might win some stuff,” said a member of the Hollywood Foreign Press Association (HFPA) in an interview with the Guardian. “People really do like him, no one wants him to be an abuser or anything like it.”

The Oscars are the most wagered on non-sporting event outside of the US Presidential race and – in more recent times – political outcomes such as Brexit.  Many of the categories tend to be high priced “locks” such as this year’s Best Director winner (Damien Chazelle is the -2100 favorite requiring a $210 bet just to win $10 - NO THANK YOU)

This year’s Best Actor category is among the most competitive for wagering enthusiasts.

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FENCES

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AUDITION (LA LA LAND)

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VIOLA DAVIS (FENCES)

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MICHELLE WILLIAMS (MANCHESTER BY THE SEA)

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CASEY AFFLECK (MANCHESTER BY THE SEA)

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DENZEL WASHINGTON (FENCES)

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RYAN GOSLING (LA LA LAND)

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EMMA STONE (LA LA LAND)

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ISABELLA HUPPERT (ELLE)

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MERYL STREEP (FLORENCE FOSTER JENKINS)

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BARRY JENKINS (MOONLIGHT)

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KENNETH LONERGAN (MANCHESTER BY THE SEA)

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MEL GIBSON (HACKSAW RIDGE)

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DENIS VILLENEUVE (ARRIVAL)

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LA LA LAND

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MANCHESTER BY THE SEA

+1200

FENCES

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LION

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ARRIVAL

+8000

HIDDEN FIGURES

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HELL OR HIGH WATER

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MOONLIGHT

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MAHERSHALA ALI (MOONLIGHT)

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MICHAEL SHANNON (NOCTURNAL ANIMALS)

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JEFF BRIDGES (HELL OR HIGH WATER)

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LUCAS HEDGES (MANCHESTER BY THE SEA)

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DEV PATEL (LION)

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- Jordan Bach, Gambling911.com

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