Why the Colts Could Come Up With Yet Another Upset Over the Patriots
Welcome to another explosive NFL week! The New England Patriots are enjoying a tiny resurgence after their 38-7 win over the lucky Dolphins, who’d stolen the spotlight with an unbeaten reel of victories; now, they are turning their attention to the Indianapolis Colts, who will pay a visit to the Gillette Stadium for Thursday Night Football at 8:20 pm EST.
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Both teams are pressured to do good this time, if only for slightly different reasons: the Colts urgently need a victory to shake off the bad taste of a 1-3 SU record thus far, while the Pats are hoping that their recent victory over Miami will be the starting point of a renewed winning streak. However, there’s little doubt amongst odds makers about who will take the lead on Thursday; top-notch betting market YOUWAGER.eu has New England as massive favorite with a -10 spread, and chances are, you won’t find a bigger line anywhere during week 5.
Against the Odds
Indianapolis is headed for a pretty difficult test come Thursday; a quick review of their head-to-head history puts into evidence the ages-long superiority of New England. Counting their last encounter, all the way back in October of 2015, the Patriots have won a total of seven times, going back several years in the past. Nevertheless, New England’s recent fails against Jacksonville and Detroit have left pundits with some valid misgivings about its near future. It appears Tom Brady is carrying the entire weight of his team’s performance and reputation, who managed to regain some of their bravado versus Miami on Sunday last. He managed to throw for a total 275 yards and 3 touchdowns.
Andrew Luck’s team has squandered some golden opportunities throughout the first weeks of the regular season; in truth, Indianapolis could have ended up with better results, but sadly, last minute faux pas’ ruined their chances for easier victories. Just last time against the Texans, after forcing overtime, the Colts somehow botched their own play to put the win on Houston’s platter.
Betting Line Insight
All things considered, New England isn’t the safe bet that handicappers make it to be. Apart from their stained early season record, they’ve failed to pass the ATS test much too often. Just during this 2018 run, the Pats carry a worrisome 2-2 ATS score. Alternatively, the Colts have done their homework, covering the spread 5 times during their last seven road matches. In average, Indianapolis is allowing 25 points and 378 yards per game, compared to New England’s 21 forced-in points and 348 yards.
There are some casualties to keep in mind before we move on: new-comer Josh Gordon’s hamstring injury is combined to Rob Gronkowski’s own ankle issue and they are both questionable to make it on Thursday. Similarly, Indi’s top receiver T.Y. Hilton was sent away after an injury suffered while playing the Texans, and isn’t expected to return any time soon.
My Prediction: offensively, the Pats seem poised for another win. They should get some clear advantage from wide-receiver Julian Edelman’s comeback; while they are certainly expected to win on TNF, their chances to cover the spread a pretty slim. Betting the underdog on the plus points is the legit power play to make this week.
