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Heading into March Madness 2019, the Virginia Cavaliers were at 8/1 odds of winning the NCAA Men's College Basketball Championship. Sagarin had them a measly .002% of a point ahead of Gonzaga (95.78 vs. 95.76) to lead the pack and they were ranked number two in the nation. The Cavs odds of winning the 2019 NCAA Men's College Basketball Tournament pay $80 for every $10 bet.
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Team Pros
If you happened to watch this squad go up against Syracuse recently, they looked invincible. Whether that can be carried on to every game in every location remains to be seen. The three-point shooting was phenomenal.
Team Cons
While the Cavs looked impressive in Syracuse, the game against Louisville made UVA wasn't necessarily a statement victory, especially considering the fact that they were a -12 favorite coming into this one and the margin of victory was just half of that number. Ty Jerome scored 24 points, including the go-ahead free throw with 5:34 remaining, and No. 2 Virginia held off Louisville 73-68 on Saturday to clinch the top seed in next week's Atlantic Coast Conference Tournament.
This is a Virginia team that has been a 1-seed three times since 2014 (a 2-seed and 5-seed in the other years) but only reached the second weekend just twice in that stretch.
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Final Thoughts Heading Into March Madness 2019
From ESPN.com: "The Cavaliers needed a strong finish on Saturday to beat Louisville and secure at least a share of the ACC regular-season title. Ty Jerome was terrific, as he has been so often throughout his career in Charlottesville. The multitalented guard finished with 24 points, six assists -- and just one turnover. Jerome totaled 40 points and 20 assists this week in wins over Syracuse and Louisville."
Odds To Make the Final Four
Excluding UVA from the Final Four in your bracket would not be wise based on what we have seen. Not only is the three-point shooting amazing, Virginia’s defense is among the nation's best.
ESPN.com adds: "Tony Bennett also is coaching the most efficient offense of his tenure, a group that's connecting on 40 percent of its 3-pointers while being led by a pair of NBA prospects, Ty Jerome and De'Andre Hunter."
Bookie Analysis
Virginia has been sick Against The Spread this season, going 22-8 ATS. They have covered in six of their most recent ten games. It's been a blood bath for books around the Charlottesville region and the need for a powerful Pay Per Head platform cannot be overstated. This has essentially been true of the entire state of Virginia these past few months.
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- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com
