April 11 Major League Baseball Trends and Betting Previews
We have all your MLB betting previews for Thursday evening's games.
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Blue Jays vs. Red Sox
What We Like
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Toronto 2-10 in Boston
What We Don't Like
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Red Sox price too high at -172
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No money line line movement indicators
PITCHING MATCHUP: Blue Jays RH Aaron Sanchez (1-1, 1.64 ERA) Vs. Red Sox RH Nathan Eovaldi (0-0, 8.10)
Sanchez was a tough-luck loser last time out, allowing two runs on five hits in six innings at Cleveland in a game Toronto went onto lose 4-1. The 26-year-old California native scattered three hits over five scoreless frames in his season debut against Detroit on March 30 and owns 11 strikeouts in as many innings. Sanchez went 0-2 with a 4.70 ERA in four starts against Boston last season, serving up four home runs in 23 total innings.
Eovaldi got the start in two of Boston's three victories but did not stick around long enough or pitch well enough to earn a win in either outing. The 29-year-old Texan was reached for three home runs in his season debut at Seattle on March 29 and gave up another at Oakland while issuing four walks in five innings April 3. Eovaldi made one appearance against Toronto last season and allowed two runs on three hits in 3 2/3 innings of relief without factoring in the decision.
Mets vs. Braves
What We Like
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8 of last 10 have resulted in nine or fewer runs with 7 having 6 or fewer
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New York is 5-12 in the last 17 meetings.
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Steven Matz (0-0, 0.87 ERA)
What We Don't Like
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Total generally trending from 8.5 to 9
The Braves are 8-2 in Gausman’s last 10 starts.
PITCHING MATCHUP: Mets LH Steven Matz (0-0, 0.87 ERA) vs. Braves RH Kevin Gausman (1-0, 0.00)
Matz struggled with control in his last start Saturday against Washington, walking four hitters in five innings, but has only allowed one earned run total in 10 1/3 innings with 11 strikeouts. The 27-year-old pitched to a 1.247 WHIP and a 3.97 ERA across 30 starts a season ago. Matz, who is 4-0 with a 2.75 ERA in seven career starts against the Braves, gave up one hit in three innings in his only appearance against Atlanta in 2018.
Gausman battled shoulder soreness that forced him to miss the first week of the season, but he held Miami to just two hits with two walks and seven strikeouts in seven scoreless innings Friday. The 28-year-old threw 54 of his 88 pitches for strikes in his season debut, facing one hitter over the minimum. Gausman lost his only start against the Mets last season, surrendering three runs on six hits in five innings.
Pirates vs Cubs
What We Like
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8 of the last 10 meetings have gone UNDER the current total of nine
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Musgrove coming off a solid performance
What We Don't Like
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Quintana coming off a rough outing
This one was coming off the 10.5 to 10.
The line on this game is -131 Cubs, +118 Pirates.
PITCHING MATCHUP: Pirates RH Joe Musgrove (1-0, 0.00 ERA) vs. Cubs LH Jose Quintana (0-1, 10.29)
After throwing two perfect innings in relief on March 31, Musgrove was dominant in his first start of the season. The 26-year-old struck out eight and allowed three hits and one walk over seven scoreless frames to beat Cincinnati on Friday. Musgrove is 2-1 with a 1.80 ERA in three starts against the Cubs, including two wins last season.
Quintana gave the Cubs four solid innings of relief in their second game of the season, but he was hit hard in his first start Friday at Milwaukee. The 30-year-old was hammered for eight runs and eight hits -- including three home runs -- in three innings. Quintana is 1-1 with a 2.89 ERA in five starts against the Pirates.
2019 MLB Record: 5-2 (71%)
2018-19 College Basketball Record: 12-9 (57.1%)
2018-19 NBA Record: 6-4 (60%)
2018 MLB Record: 45-35 (56.2%)
2018 NBA Record: 12-4-1 (75%)
- Dan Shapiro, Gambling911.com
