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The overnight line on the Blue Jays vs. Red Sox game had Boston a little too high for our tastes at -168. Toronto was coming in at +155. There was little movement with this line. The total moved from 9.5 to 10. The line was as high as -179 at some of the New Jersey licensed sportsbooks.
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Boston has really been playing well of late, winning eight of their last ten overall, though losing Saturday night. They are 42-35 and certainly a superior team compared to the Blue Jays, who have dropped six of their last ten and are 27-49 on the season.
Boston had won nine of the last ten games versus Toronto prior to Saturday evening.
With seven of the last ten meetings resulting in ten or more runs, finding a book that still offers a the total of 9.5 is key. As of Midnight, Heritage Sports appeared to be the only book still offering the 9.5.
PITCHING MATCHUP: Blue Jays RH Marcus Stroman (4-9, 3.23 ERA) vs. Red Sox RH Rick Porcello (5-6, 4.31)
Stroman posted a quality start last time out, allowing three runs on four hits - two homers - against the Los Angeles Angels on Tuesday but suffered the loss in a 3-1 final. The Duke product surrendered three or fewer earned runs in seven of his last eight turns but also served up seven homers in that span. Stroman issued a season-high six walks against Boston on May 21 but limited the damage to one run - a solo homer by Mitch Moreland - in six innings to earn a win.
Porcello is coming off a dominant outing at Minnesota on Monday, when he scattered four hits and struck out eight over seven scoreless innings to earn a win. The former Cy Young Award winner owns 23 strikeouts and three walks in 24 1/3 innings this month and turned in a quality start in five of his last seven outings. Porcello had little trouble at Toronto on May 22, allowing one run and three hits in six innings without factoring in the decision.
Toronto has scored five or more runs in seven of their last ten games while allowing five or more in seven as well.
Boston has scored five or more runs in seven of their last ten games as well while allowing that many runs or more in four over that span.
With neither starter among the best their respective teams have to offer, and both coming off wins, Gambling911.com will be on the OVER 9.5 (again still available at Heritage).
Our Free Picks Record June 22
2019 MLB Record: 17-11-2 (60.8%) - No Plays Over -160
2018-19 College Basketball Record: 12-9 (57.1%)
2018-19 NBA Record: 7-5 (58%)
2018 MLB Record: 45-35 (56.2%)
2018 NBA Record: 12-4-1 (75%)
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