Saints-Bears Best Bets Week 7 2019

• Chicago is a -4 home dog as the Saints continue to get little love despite 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS record

• Saints winning NFC South not the best value at -300

• Bears winning NFC North pay $500 for every $100 bet a very good value especially with a win

TV: 4:25 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Bears -3.5. O/U: 38

ABOUT THE SAINTS (5-1): Although Bridgewater threw for 314 yards and matched a career high with four scoring passes in Week 5, he struggled against Jacksonville last week and is averaging only 217.8 yards passing. Bridgewater may have to do more this week against Chicago's rugged defense with the potential absences of star running back Alvin Kamara (ankle/knee) and tight end Jared Cook (ankle), who each sat out practice for the second straight day on Thursday. Latavius Murray will get the start if Kamara can't go while wide receiver Michael Thomas (NFL-high 53 catches) is the top option in the passing game. New Orleans has been stout defensively, allowing 40 points over the past three games.

ABOUT THE BEARS (3-2): Trubisky averaged 230.2 yards passing in 2018 and his production was no better through his first three games, with his best performance coming in a 231-yard outing at one-win Washington in Week 3. Rookie David Montgomery has rushed for only 225 yards and has yet to jump-start a running game that is averaging only 80.6 yards while third-down back Tarik Cohen has done next to nothing on the ground with 37 yards rushing while averaging nearly 20 yards fewer than last season in the passing game. Allen Robinson has been the only reliable option in the passing game with 31 catches. Chicago's defense ranks fifth against the run at 83.0 yards per game.

- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com