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According to Vegas, the probability of President Trump being removed from office is a very long shot.
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The bookmaker SportsBetting.ag set odds on a number of different scenarios surrounding the impeachment trials. People can wager on impeachment, how many Republic Senators will vote to impeach, individual Senate votes, dismissing of articles and more.
Currently, the odds of President Trump being impeached by the Senate are 20/1, or +2000. This equates to a 4.76% probability. The odds of him not being impeached in 2020 are -5000, meaning a bettor would wager 50 just to win one dollar.
Also on the board are odds for which Democratic nominee will take the Iowa caucuses. Pete Buttigieg is the favorite, but Bernie Sanders has quickly closed the gap.
Link to page with odds (subject to change): https://www.sportsbetting.ag/sportsbook/futures-and-props/politics-props
Will Senate vote to remove President Trump for office?
Yes +2000
No -5000
How many Republican Senators will vote to impeach President Trump?
Over 2
Under 2
Will Mitch McDonnell move to dismiss articles of impeachment?
Yes +150
No -200
Will Mitch Romney vote for impeachment?
Yes +110
No -150
Will Lisa Murkowski vote for impeachment?
Yes -150
No +110
Will Susan Collins vote for impeachment?
Yes +100
No -140
Will President Trump win the 2020 General Election?
Yes -140
No +100
Who will win Democratic Iowa Caucus?
Pete Buttigieg +110
Bernie Sanders +175
Joe Biden +300
Elizabeth Warren +700
Finally, fresh odds for the Democratic race and 2020 General Election are available on the site. Joe Biden has moved to a 3/1 favorite to be represent the DNC, while Sanders and Buttigieg are both 4/1 and Elizabeth Warren 5/1.
Trump remains the favorite to be re-elected.
