The books have the Sunday late game between Buffalo and Kansas City as tight as they come. BetOnline hadn't moved off the KC -3 all week and we've only seen one or two books move up a half point to the -3.5 for a good five minutes.
So let's check out the results for NFL games this season that have mostly stayed on the home team -3 (starting on Week 3 and not taking into account Week 17).
Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota Vikings - The Vikings won by 34-20. The line had dropped from Vikings -4 earlier in the week. The line only closed at -3 the hours ahead of kickoff, so this is not the best comparison.
The New York Giants vs. Washington Football Team game is a much better comparable with the line mainly hanging at Washington -3 the full week. The dog, New York, won by 3.
New Orleans Saints vs. Tampa Bay Bucs - The -3 didn't show up until the final hours ahead of kickoff. In fact, the line dropped a full point on Game Day. The dog, New Orleans, won 38-3.
Buffalo Bills vs. Arizona Cardinals - This one closed at -3 most books the final day after shifting between -2.5 and -3. Arizona won but failed to cover with the final score 32-30.
Carolina Panthers vs. Minnesota Vikings - Minnesota opened -3.5 and two days prior to Game Day sat on the -3. Minnesota opens, but by just one point and failing to cover as a result.
Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears - This one hung on 3 most of the week with little movement at BetOnline. Detroit, the dog, won 34-30.
Washington Football Team vs. San Francisco 49ers - San Francisco was a -3 favorite throughout much of the week and ultimately lost 15-23
LA Rams vs. Seattle Seahawks had the Seahawks as a -3 home favorite the 48 hours leading up to kickoff with the line previously at -4 and -3.5. Seattle lost 20-30.
Tampa Bay Bucs vs. New Orleans Saints - The line was -3 New Orleans all week at Bovada. New Orleans lost 20-30.
Last year we had no move off the -3 in a game between the Houston Texans and Tennesee Titans. Houston won that as the +3 dog 24-21.
Tampa Bay was a solid -3 versus Indianapolis last year with the final score Tampa winning by three points.
The Green Bay Packers vs. San Francisco 49ers game last season was an exception to these other trends above with the 49ers winning 37-8 and the line not moving off the 3.
Buffalo Bills vs. Cleveland Browns - This one did start the week at -2.5 but closed the final 48 hours -3. Cleveland won by three points.
BetOnline had the Cowboys as a -3 favorite all week with Minnesota winning 28-24.
Baltimore Ravens vs. Seattle Seahawks - The line was -3.5 and moved to -3 mid week. Baltimore won 30-16.
The Cowboys had been a -2.5 favorite before closing at -3 the final hours before kickoff against Philadelphia. Dallas did win 37-10.
The Rams were a solid 3 point favorite the five days leading up to kickoff versus San Francisco. It was the 49ers who won this game 20-7.
Another beauty: Cincinnati was a -3 favorite for the four days leading up to kickoff with no movement. Arizona wins 26-23.
Another exception to the above trends: New Orleans was a solid -3 favorite all week but Tampa did win by seven points. We would caution that the line opened at between -5.5 and -6.5 before quickly moving down to -3 and staying there.
Buffalo Bills vs. Tennessee Titans - Tennessee lost by seven points with the line steady on -3.
Gambling911.com will be on the Buffalo Bills +3 today. This doesn't mean we don't think Kansas City is not going to the Super Bowl. We think there is a good chance the Chiefs still win by 1 or 2 points. Chiefs to win by 1-3 pts pays $550 for every $100 bet incidentally.
Patrick Mahomes passed concussion protocol but is dealing with another problem: Turf toe.
It involves the plantar plate and ligaments in the big toe and can sometimes sideline a player. Mahomes is dealing with this issue in his left foot, but it doesn’t appear to be severe, at least that's what we are being told.
RECORD UPDATED JANUARY 25, 2021 3:30 pm ET
OVERALL COLLEGE BASKETBALL 2021: 13-4 76.4%
OVERALL NBA RECORD 2021: 7-8 46.6%
OVERALL NFL RECORD 2020: 16-20 44.4%
OVERALL COLLEGE FOOTBALL RECORD: 6-1 85.7%
OVERALL NBA RECORD 2020: 70-47-1 59.8%
SOCCER RECORD 2020 (INCLUDES MLS): 26-16 61.9%
| Rot |
Josh Allen to have 275+ passing yards and BUF to Win |
Moneyline |
| 601 |
Yes |
|
| Rot |
Josh Allen to have 250+ passing yards and BUF to Win |
Moneyline |
| 602 |
Yes |
|
| Rot |
Josh Allen to have 2+ passing TDs and BUF to Win |
Moneyline |
| 604 |
Yes |
|
| Rot |
Josh Allen to have 300+ passing yards and BUF to Win |
Moneyline |
| 605 |
Yes |
|
| Rot |
Josh Allen to have 3+ passing TDs and BUF to Win |
Moneyline |
| 606 |
Yes |
|
| Rot |
Josh Allen to have 350+ passing yards and BUF to Win |
Moneyline |
| 607 |
Yes |
|
| Rot |
Josh Allen to have 400+ passing yards and BUF to Win |
Moneyline |
| 608 |
Yes |
|
| Rot |
Patrick Mahomes to have 250+ passing yards and KC to Win |
Moneyline |
| 620 |
Yes |
|
| Rot |
Patrick Mahomes to have 275+ passing yards and KC to Win |
Moneyline |
| 650 |
Yes |
|
| Rot |
Patrick Mahomes to have 2+ passing TDs and KC to Win |
Moneyline |
| 651 |
Yes |
|
| Rot |
Patrick Mahomes to have 300+ passing yards and KC to Win |
Moneyline |
| 652 |
Yes |
|
| Rot |
Patrick Mahomes to have 3+ passing TDs and KC to Win |
Moneyline |
| 653 |
Yes |
|
| Rot |
Patrick Mahomes to have 350+ passing yards and KC to Win |
Moneyline |
| 654 |
Yes |
|
| Rot |
Patrick Mahomes to have 400+ passing yards and KC to Win |
Moneyline |
| 655 |
Yes |
|
| Rot |
Josh Allen (BUF) Total Completions |
Moneyline |
| 701 |
Over 25½ Completions |
|
| 702 |
Under 25½ Completions |
|
| Rot |
Josh Allen (BUF) Total Passing Yards |
Moneyline |
| 703 |
Over 308½ Passing Yards |
|
| 704 |
Under 308½ Passing Yards |
|
| Rot |
Josh Allen (BUF) Total Pass Attempts |
Moneyline |
| 705 |
Over 38½ Pass Attempts |
|
| 706 |
Under 38½ Pass Attempts |
|
| Rot |
Josh Allen (BUF) Will He Throw an Interception |
Moneyline |
| 707 |
Yes |
|
| 708 |
No |
|
| Rot |
Josh Allen (BUF) Longest Completion |
Moneyline |
| 709 |
Over 39½ Longest Completion |
|
| 710 |
Under 39½ Longest Completion |
|
| Rot |
Josh Allen (BUF) Total Touchdown Passes |
Moneyline |
| 711 |
Over 2½ TD Passes |
|
| 712 |
Under 2½ TD Passes |
|
| Rot |
Josh Allen (BUF) Total Rushing Yards |
Moneyline |
| 713 |
Over 37½ Rushing Yards |
|
| 714 |
Under 37½ Rushing Yards |
|
| Rot |
Josh Allen (BUF) Will he Score a Rushing Touchdown |
Moneyline |
| 715 |
Yes |
|
| 716 |
No |
|
| Rot |
Devin Singletary (BUF) Total Rushing Yards |
Moneyline |
| 717 |
Over 42½ Rushing Yards |
|
| 718 |
Under 42½ Rushing Yards |
|
| Rot |
Devin Singletary (BUF) Total Receptions |
Moneyline |
| 719 |
Over 2½ Receptions |
|
| 720 |
Under 2½ Receptions |
|
| Rot |
Devin Singletary (BUF) Total Receiving Yards |
Moneyline |
| 721 |
Over 22½ Receiving Yards |
|
| 722 |
Under 22½ Receiving Yards |
|
| Rot |
Devin Singletary (BUF) Total Rushing + Receiving Yards |
Moneyline |
| 723 |
Over 63½ Rush+Rec Yards |
|
| 724 |
Under 63½ Rush+Rec Yards |
|
| Rot |
Stefon Diggs (BUF) Total Receptions |
Moneyline |
| 725 |
Over 7½ Receptions |
|
| 726 |
Under 7½ Receptions |
|
| Rot |
Stefon Diggs (BUF) Total Receiving Yards |
Moneyline |
| 727 |
Over 100½ Receiving Yards |
|
| 728 |
Under 100½ Receiving Yards |
|
| Rot |
Stefon Diggs (BUF) Longest Reception |
Moneyline |
| 729 |
Over 26½ Longest Reception |
|
| 730 |
Under 26½ Longest Reception |
|
| Rot |
John Brown (BUF) Total Receptions |
Moneyline |
| 731 |
Over 4½ Receptions |
|
| 732 |
Under 4½ Receptions |
|
| Rot |
John Brown (BUF) Total Receiving Yards |
Moneyline |
| 733 |
Over 56½ Receiving Yards |
|
| 734 |
Under 56½ Receiving Yards |
|
| Rot |
John Brown (BUF) Longest Reception |
Moneyline |
| 735 |
Over 21½ Longest Reception |
|
| 736 |
Under 21½ Longest Reception |
|
| Rot |
Cole Beasley (BUF) Total Receptions |
Moneyline |
| 737 |
Over 3½ Receptions |
|
| 738 |
Under 3½ Receptions |
|
| Rot |
Cole Beasley (BUF) Total Receiving Yards |
Moneyline |
| 739 |
Over 49½ Receiving Yards |
|
| 740 |
Under 49½ Receiving Yards |
|
| Rot |
Cole Beasley (BUF) Longest Reception |
Moneyline |
| 741 |
Over 19½ Longest Reception |
|
| 742 |
Under 19½ Longest Reception |
|
| Rot |
Dawson Knox (BUF) Total Receptions |
Moneyline |
| 743 |
Over 2½ Receptions |
|
| 744 |
Under 2½ Receptions |
|
| Rot |
Dawson Knox (BUF) Total Receiving Yards |
Moneyline |
| 745 |
Over 23½ Receiving Yards |
|
| 746 |
Under 23½ Receiving Yards |
|
| Rot |
Dawson Knox (BUF) Longest Reception |
Moneyline |
| 747 |
Over 13½ Longest Reception |
|
| 748 |
Under 13½ Longest Reception |
|
| Rot |
Devin Singletary (BUF) Longest Reception |
Moneyline |
| 749 |
Over 11½ Longest Reception |
|
| 750 |
Under 11½ Longest Reception |
|
| Rot |
Tyler Bass (BUF) Total Points |
Moneyline |
| 751 |
Over 6½ Points |
|
| 752 |
Under 6½ Points |
|
| Rot |
Patrick Mahomes (KC) Total Completions |
Moneyline |
| 801 |
Over 26½ Completions |
|
| 802 |
Under 26½ Completions |
|
| Rot |
Patrick Mahomes (KC) Total Passing Yards |
Moneyline |
| 803 |
Over 315½ Passing Yards |
|
| 804 |
Under 315½ Passing Yards |
|
| Rot |
Patrick Mahomes (KC) Total Pass Attempts |
Moneyline |
| 805 |
Over 37½ Pass Attempts |
|
| 806 |
Under 37½ Pass Attempts |
|
| Rot |
Patrick Mahomes (KC) Longest Completion |
Moneyline |
| 809 |
Over 39½ Longest Completion |
|
| 810 |
Under 39½ Longest Completion |
|
| Rot |
Patrick Mahomes (KC) Total Touchdown Passes |
Moneyline |
| 811 |
Over 2½ Touchdown Passes |
|
| 812 |
Under 2½ Touchdown Passes |
|
| Rot |
Patrick Mahomes (KC) Will He Throw an Interception |
Moneyline |
| 813 |
Yes |
|
| 814 |
No |
|
| Rot |
Tyreek Hill (KC) Total Receptions |
Moneyline |
| 819 |
Over 5½ Receptions |
|
| 820 |
Under 5½ Receptions |
|
| Rot |
Tyreek Hill (KC) Total Receiving Yards |
Moneyline |
| 821 |
Over 79½ Receiving Yards |
|
| 822 |
Under 79½ Receiving Yards |
|
| Rot |
Tyreek Hill (KC) Longest Reception |
Moneyline |
| 823 |
Over 25½ Longest Reception |
|
| 824 |
Under 25½ Longest Reception |
|
| Rot |
Travis Kelce (KC) Total Receptions |
Moneyline |
| 825 |
Over 7½ Receptions |
|
| 826 |
Under 7½ Receptions |
|
| Rot |
Travis Kelce (KC) Total Receiving Yards |
Moneyline |
| 827 |
Over 97½ Receiving Yards |
|
| 828 |
Under 97½ Receiving Yards |
|
| Rot |
Travis Kelce (KC) Longest Reception |
Moneyline |
| 829 |
Over 26½ Longest Reception |
|
| 830 |
Under 26½ Longest Reception |
|
| Rot |
Demarcus Robinson (KC) Total Receptions |
Moneyline |
| 835 |
Over 2½ Receptions |
|
| 836 |
Under 2½ Receptions |
|
| Rot |
Demarcus Robinson (KC) Total Receiving Yards |
Moneyline |
| 837 |
Over 29½ Receiving Yards |
|
| 838 |
Under 29½ Receiving Yards |
|
| Rot |
Demarcus Robinson (KC) Longest Reception |
Moneyline |
| 839 |
Over 15½ Longest Reception |
|
| 840 |
Under 15½ Longest Reception |
|
| Rot |
Which QB will have more passing yards today |
Moneyline |
| 860 |
Josh Allen |
|
| 861 |
Patrick Mahomes |
|
| Rot |
Player to Score a Touchdown ~ Anytime TD Scorer |
Moneyline |
| 901 |
J Allen (BUF) |
|
| 902 |
S Diggs (BUF) |
|
| 903 |
D Singletary (BUF) |
|
| 904 |
C Beasley (BUF) |
|
| 905 |
J Brown (BUF) |
|
| 906 |
D Knox (BUF) |
|
| 907 |
T Yeldon (BUF) |
|
| 908 |
G Davis (BUF) |
|
| 909 |
L Smith (BUF) |
|
| 910 |
T Jones (BUF) |
|
| 911 |
Bills DST (BUF) |
|
| 912 |
T Kelce (KAN) |
|
| 913 |
T Hill (KAN) |
|
| 914 |
C Edwards-Helaire (KAN) |
|
| 915 |
M Hardman (KAN) |
|
| 916 |
S Watkins (KAN) |
|
| 917 |
D Williams (KAN) |
|
| 918 |
P Mahomes (KAN) |
|
| 919 |
D Robinson (KAN) |
|
| 920 |
D Yelder (KAN) |
|
| 921 |
L Bell (KAN) |
|
| 922 |
Chiefs DST (KAN) |
|
| 923 |
No Touchdown |
|
| 924 |
Field |
|
| Rot |
Player to Score First Touchdown ~ 1st TD Scorer |
Moneyline |
| 926 |
J Allen (BUF) |
|
| 927 |
S Diggs (BUF) |
|
| 928 |
D Singletary (BUF) |
|
| 929 |
C Beasley (BUF) |
|
| 930 |
J Brown (BUF) |
|
| 931 |
D Knox (BUF) |
|
| 932 |
T Yeldon (BUF) |
|
| 933 |
G Davis (BUF) |
|
| 934 |
L Smith (BUF) |
|
| 935 |
T Jones (BUF) |
|
| 936 |
Bills DST (BUF) |
|
| 937 |
T Kelce (KAN) |
|
| 938 |
T Hill (KAN) |
|
| 939 |
C Edwards-Helaire (KAN) |
|
| 940 |
M Hardman (KAN) |
|
| 941 |
S Watkins (KAN) |
|
| 942 |
D Williams (KAN) |
|
| 943 |
P Mahomes (KAN) |
|
| 944 |
D Robinson (KAN) |
|
| 945 |
D Yelder (KAN) |
|
| 946 |
L Bell (KAN) |
|
| 947 |
Chiefs DST (KAN) |
|
| 948 |
No Touchdown |
|
| 949 |
Field |
|
| Rot |
Player to Score First Bills Touchdown ~ Bills |
Moneyline |
| 951 |
J Allen |
|
| 952 |
S Diggs |
|
| 953 |
D Singletary |
|
| 954 |
C Beasley |
|
| 955 |
J Brown |
|
| 956 |
D Knox |
|
| 957 |
G Davis |
|
| 958 |
T Yeldon |
|
| 959 |
L Smith |
|
| 960 |
T Jones |
|
| 961 |
Bills DST |
|
| 962 |
No Touchdown |
|
| 963 |
Field |
|
| Rot |
Player to Score First Chiefs Touchdown ~ Chiefs |
Moneyline |
| 965 |
T Kelce |
|
| 966 |
T Hill |
|
| 967 |
C Edwards-Helaire |
|
| 968 |
M Hardman |
|
| 969 |
S Watkins |
|
| 970 |
D Robinson |
|
| 971 |
D Williams |
|
| 972 |
P Mahomes |
|
| 973 |
D Yelder |
|
| 974 |
L Bell |
|
| 975 |
Chiefs DST |
|
| 976 |
No Touchdown |
|
| 977 |
Field |
|
| Rot |
First To Score |
Moneyline |
| 1001 |
Bills |
|
| 1002 |
Chiefs |
|
| Rot |
Score in 1st 5½ min |
Moneyline |
| 1003 |
Yes |
|
| 1004 |
No |
|
| Rot |
First Score of the Game |
Moneyline |
| 1005 |
TD |
|
| 1006 |
Any Other Score |
|
| Rot |
First Scoring Play Of The Game |
Moneyline |
| 1007 |
Bills TD |
|
| 1008 |
Bills FG |
|
| 1009 |
Bills Any Other Score |
|
| 1010 |
Chiefs TD |
|
| 1011 |
Chiefs FG |
|
| 1012 |
Chiefs Any Other Score |
|
| Rot |
Will there be a Defensive or Special Teams TD |
Moneyline |
| 1013 |
Yes |
|
| 1014 |
No |
|
| Rot |
Total TDs in the Game |
Moneyline |
| 1015 |
Over 6½ TDs |
|
| 1016 |
Under 6½ TDs |
|
| Rot |
Total FGs Scored in the Game |
Moneyline |
| 1017 |
Over 3½ FGs |
|
| 1018 |
Under 3½ FGs |
|
| Rot |
Longest TD in the Game |
Moneyline |
| 1019 |
Over 44½ Yards |
|
| 1020 |
Under 44½ Yards |
|
| Rot |
Shortest TD in the Game |
Moneyline |
| 1021 |
Over 1½ Yards |
|
| 1022 |
Under 1½ Yards |
|
| Rot |
Longest FG Scored in the Game |
Moneyline |
| 1023 |
Over 46½ Yards |
|
| 1024 |
Under 46½ Yards |
|
| Rot |
A Team to Score 3 Unanswered Times |
Moneyline |
| 1025 |
Yes |
|
| 1026 |
No |
|
| Rot |
Team To Score Longest TD |
Moneyline |
| 1027 |
Bills |
|
| 1028 |
Chiefs |
|
| Rot |
Team To Score Longest FG |
Moneyline |
| 1029 |
Bills |
|
| 1030 |
Chiefs |
|
| Rot |
Team Scoring 1st Wins Game |
Moneyline |
| 1031 |
Yes |
|
| 1032 |
No |
|
| Rot |
Team to Call 1st Timeout |
Moneyline |
| 1033 |
Bills |
|
| 1034 |
Chiefs |
|
| Rot |
Double Result |
Moneyline |
| 1035 |
Bills/Bills |
|
| 1036 |
Bills/Tie |
|
| 1037 |
Bills/Chiefs |
|
| 1038 |
Tie/Bills |
|
| 1039 |
Tie/Tie |
|
| 1040 |
Tie/Chiefs |
|
| 1041 |
Chiefs/Bills |
|
| 1042 |
Chiefs/Tie |
|
| 1043 |
Chiefs/Chiefs |
|
| Rot |
Race To 10 Points |
Moneyline |
| 1044 |
Bills |
|
| 1045 |
Chiefs |
|
| 1046 |
Neither |
|
| Rot |
Will the Game go to Overtime |
Moneyline |
| 1047 |
Yes |
|
| 1048 |
No |
|
| Rot |
Highest Scoring Half |
Moneyline |
| 1049 |
1st Half |
|
| 1050 |
2nd Half |
|
| 1051 |
Tie |
|
| Rot |
Highest Scoring Quarter |
Moneyline |
| 1052 |
1st Quarter |
|
| 1053 |
2nd Quarter |
|
| 1054 |
3rd Quarter |
|
| 1055 |
4th Quarter |
|
| 1056 |
Tie |
|
| Rot |
Winning Margin |
Moneyline |
| 1057 |
Bills to win by 1-3 pts |
|
| 1058 |
Bills to win by 4-6 pts |
|
| 1059 |
Bills to win by 7-10 pts |
|
| 1060 |
Bills to win by 11-13 pts |
|
| 1061 |
Bills to win by 14-17 pts |
|
| 1062 |
Bills to win by 18-21 pts |
|
| 1063 |
Bills to win by 22 or more pts |
|
| 1064 |
Chiefs to win by 1-3 pts |
|
| 1065 |
Chiefs to win by 4-6 pts |
|
| 1066 |
Chiefs to win by 7-10 pts |
|
| 1067 |
Chiefs to win by 11-13 pts |
|
| 1068 |
Chiefs to win by 14-17 pts |
|
| 1069 |
Chiefs to win by 18-21 pts |
|
| 1070 |
Chiefs to win by 22 or more pts |
|
| Rot |
Total Points Scored |
Moneyline |
| 1071 |
00-14 Points |
|
| 1072 |
15-21 Points |
|
| 1073 |
22-28 Points |
|
| 1074 |
29-35 Points |
|
| 1075 |
36-42 Points |
|
| 1076 |
43-49 Points |
|
| 1077 |
50-56 Points |
|
| 1078 |
57-63 Points |
|
| 1079 |
64-70 Points |
|
| 1080 |
71-77 Points |
|
| 1081 |
78 or More Points |
|
| Rot |
1st Half Total TDs Scored |
Moneyline |
| 1082 |
Over 3½ TDs |
|
| 1083 |
Under 3½ TDs |
|
| Rot |
1st Half Total FGs Scored |
Moneyline |
| 1084 |
Over 1½ FGs |
|
| 1085 |
Under 1½ FGs |
|
| Rot |
Score in Last 2 min of the 1st Half |
Moneyline |
| 1086 |
Yes |
|
| 1087 |
No |
|
| Rot |
1st Half Winning Margin |
Moneyline |
| 1088 |
Bills to win by 1-3 pts |
|
| 1089 |
Bills to win by 4-6 pts |
|
| 1090 |
Bills to win by 7-9 pts |
|
| 1091 |
Bills to win by 10-12 pts |
|
| 1092 |
Bills to win by 13 or more pts |
|
| 1093 |
Chiefs to win by 1-3 pts |
|
| 1094 |
Chiefs to win by 4-6 pts |
|
| 1095 |
Chiefs to win by 7-9 pts |
|
| 1096 |
Chiefs to win by 10-12 pts |
|
| 1097 |
Chiefs to win by 13 or more pts |
|
| 1098 |
Tie |
|
| Rot |
Will there be Missed Field Goal |
Moneyline |
| 1100 |
Yes |
|
| 1101 |
No |
|
| Rot |
Will there be Missed Extra Point |
Moneyline |
| 1102 |
Yes |
|
| 1103 |
No |
|
| Rot |
Total Punts by BOTH Teams |
Moneyline |
| 1104 |
Over 6½ Punts |
|
| 1105 |
Under 6½ Punts |
|
| Rot |
Total Sacks by Both Teams |
Moneyline |
| 1106 |
Over 3½ Sacks |
|
| 1107 |
Under 3½ Sacks |
|
| Rot |
Will there be a Safety |
Moneyline |
| 1108 |
Yes |
|
| 1109 |
No |
|
| Rot |
Will the game be Decided by Exactly 3 Points |
Moneyline |
| 1110 |
Yes |
|
| 1111 |
No |
|
| Rot |
Will there be a Successful 2 Pt Conversion |
Moneyline |
| 1112 |
Yes |
|
| 1113 |
No |
|
| Rot |
First Turnover of The Game Will Be A |
Moneyline |
| 1114 |
Interception |
|
| 1115 |
Fumble |
|
- Dan Shapiro, Gambling911.com
