Written by :
Published on :
Gambling911.com takes a look at the line movements in the Saints-Panthers Week 2 game and what we can learn.
The Key Takeaways
- The Panthers have played the Saints well in recent years even though the Saints are 5-1 in that span.
- Early indications are that the oddsmakers are trying to get action on New Orleans despite the Saints seeing 80% of the action.
The Breakdown
BetOnline Line Movement
09/15 1:52 pm-3 -125+3 +105
09/15 11:06 am-3½ -111+3½ -109
09/15 9:52 am-3½ -108+3½ -112
09/14 5:42 pm-3½ -105+3½ -115
09/14 12:56 pm-3½ -111+3½ -109
09/14 12:02 pm-3½ -105+3½ -115
09/13 8:41 pm-3½ -113+3½ -107
09/13 7:07 pm-3 -130+3 +110
09/13 3:37 pm-3 -125+3 +105
09/13 3:18 pm-3 -122+3 +102
09/13 12:04 pm-3 -120+3 +100
09/13 10:34 am-3 -123+3 +103
09/13 8:04 am-3 -118+3 -102
09/12 8:50 pm-3 -115+3 -105
09/12 7:49 pm-3 -109+3 -111
09/12 7:34 pm-3 +100+3 -120
09/12 7:03 pm-3 -110+3 -110
Watch this one carefully. BetOnline was still teasing the -3 Wednesday after bringing this one up to -3.5. If BetOnline continues this trend along with the likes of Heritage, Pinnacle and Bookmaker, this could be an indication that the books are feeling good about a Carolina cover. BetAnySports, an offshore of 5Dimes, is also posting aggressive lines of late. BetOnline was seeing 90% of the spread action on New Orleans. This was true across the board.
Even Bovada moved this one up to -4 and dropped to -3.5.
But the Saints are rated the highest of any team this week (26.57). Carolina is at 19.10 but gets the home field advantage tacked on to give them a rating of 21.59. This still gives us a line of Saints -5.
With Drew Brees, Carolina had managed to lose by a field goal in three of the last six meetings. They also won a game during this span.
Sam Darnold completed 24-of-35 passes for 279 yards with a touchdown and zero interceptions in the 19-14 win against the Jets.
And then there was Jameis Winston who outplayed Aaron Rodgers in a blowout 38-3 win.
Winston is no Drew Brees and we can't overemphasize that the Panthers are more familiar with the Saints than Green Bay was.
Gambling911.com sees Carolina covering the +3.5 with another field goal loss or a win.
- Ean Lamb, Gambling911.com
