Odds on Marjorie Taylor Greene Being Removed From the Ballot

Often referred to as just MTG or "The ‘QAnon Congresswoman", Georgia Congresswoman Marjorie Taylor Greene could find herself off the ballot in her Georgia district if one group - actually multiple groups - gets their way.

A federal judge cited a ‘whirlpool of colliding constitutional interests’ in allowing a 14th-amendment challenge to far-right Republican.  A coalition of liberal groups is behind the challenge.

They claim Ms. Greene is ineligible to run again as they allege she has ties to a January 6, 2021 attack on the US Capitol.  The Congresswoman has denied such links and said she does not encourage violence.

In October, Greene said on a radio program that “January 6 was just a riot at the Capitol and if you think about what our Declaration of Independence says, it says to overthrow tyrants.”

The 14th-amendment states that “No person shall be a Senator or Representative in Congress, or elector of President and Vice-President, or hold any office, civil or military, under the United States, or under any state, who, having previously taken an oath … to support the Constitution of the United States, shall have engaged in insurrection or rebellion against the same, or given aid or comfort to the enemies thereof.”

And while Tuesday's ruling only applies to the case moving forward, Gambling911.com does not believe MTG will ultimately have her name taken off the ballot.  It's still a close call at +160. 

It is not immediately clear if our partners at BetOnline will actually take bets on the ultimate outcome.

Judge Amy Totenberg of the northern district of Georgia sent the case on to a state hearing on Friday.

In her ruling on Greene’s attempt to dismiss her challenge, on Monday, Totenberg said: “This case involves a whirlpool of colliding constitutional interests of public import. Upon a thorough analysis of each of the claims asserted in this case, the court concludes that [Greene] has not carried her burden of persuasion.”

Greene could still challenge any ruling ahead of the Georgia primary, which takes place in just a matter of weeks on 25 May.  She is widely expected to win in the primary.

These Bets Have Value

BetOnline is currently offering odds on whether Republican Congresswoman Liz Cheney wins re-election in her home state of Wyoming.

3-1 odds on the YES is some great value.  She's the underdog, and a pretty steep one at that.

Cheney fell out of favor with GOP leadership following her support to impeach the former US President Donald Trump.

But the establishment still loves her and money talks.

Last week it was disclosed that Cheney raised $2.9 million in the first quarter of 2022.

Politico reveals that Cheney has a remarkable $6.8 million campaign war chest.

And contrary to what some might think, there are Democrats in the nation's least populated state, 26.6% to be exact.  That's an increase of nearly 5% since Trump was elected in 2016, though Democrats made up around 33% of the voter registration in 2008. There are also 34,682 unaffiliated.

Why is this important?  The state holds an open primary and Cheney is hopeful to woo in Democrats and Independents.  

Though Gambling911.com does not have access to BetOnline wagering data, it's likely that much of the action that has come in is from outside the state of Wyoming and heavily skewed towards those who disdain Cheney's unfavorable stance towards Trump. 

Then there is current US President Joe Biden winning a second term. 

BetOnline pays out $40 for every $10 bet should this occur.

Florida Republican Governor Ron DeSantis is moving towards favorite status to become the next US President with Trump a favorite NOT to declare a 2024 run.

Should DeSantis fall out of favor with Trump, this could boost Biden's chances.  But baked into these odds is the possibility that Biden will not seek a second term.

- Gilbert Horowitz, Gambling911.com