Betting Alerts: A Look at Early Line Moves Indicative of Potential Sharp Plays 2022 Week 1 College Football (12 pm to 4 pm Games)

Gambling911.com takes a look at how books responded to potential sharp action early, where the lines ultimately ended up and all the action coming in for the 12 pm games Week 2 College Football (September 10, 2022).

South Carolina vs. Arkansas

09/04/22 4:15:35 PM-9.5-110+52-110

09/04/22 4:39:34 PM-9.5-110+52.5-110

09/04/22 5:39:47 PM-9-105+52.5-110

09/04/22 5:45:28 PM-8.5-105+52.5-110

09/04/22 7:08:16 PM-8-105

Closing Line -9 (-9.5 recreational books)

In the final hour we witnessed this line move as high as -15.5 at 12:30 pm (BetRivers) before coming back down to 10.5 and 11 by 12:40 pm to close.

Arkansas was seeing upwards of 80% of the action right up to game time.

Missouri vs Kansas State

We did not observe any immediate shifts in the early line. The line had opened at -8.5 and drifted down to -7 favoring KState throughout the course of the week.

Action was somewhat balanced with the Wildcats seeing around 55% to just shy of 60% public backing on the spread.

Wake Forest vs. Vanderbilt

Likewise, the Wake Forest vs. Vanderbilt did not see any drastic line change in the first 24 hours after being posted.  The line has moved from -6.5 to -13 (-13.5 recreational books) favoring the Demon Deacons, likely a result of Sam Hartman returning.

Alabama vs. Texas

As you can plainly see, the Bama-Texas game was hit hard early. 

09/04/22 3:28:52 PM+18.5-110+61.5-110

09/04/22 3:34:25 PM+19-105+61.5-110

09/04/22 3:47:49 PM+20-110+61.5-110

09/04/22 4:04:41 PM+20-105+61.5-110

09/04/22 4:15:36 PM+19.5-110+61.5-110

09/04/22 4:32:54 PM+20-108+61.5-110

09/04/22 4:39:34 PM+21-113+61.5-110

09/04/22 4:46:40 PM+20.5-110+61.5-110

This one has trended towards the -21 the remainder of the week (closing at -21.5 at the recreational books).

Action was 81% Tide.

Duke vs. Northwestern

This one was hit hard early from Northwestern -8 to -10.5 over a period of hours. 

09/04/22 3:23:09 PM-8-110+55.5-110

09/04/22 3:28:51 PM-8.5-110+57.5-110

09/04/22 4:10:08 PM-9.5-110+57.5-110

09/04/22 4:39:33 PM-9.5-110+57-110

09/04/22 4:52:09 PM-9.5-110+56.5-110

09/04/22 5:56:50 PM-10-110+56.5-110

09/04/22 11:11:43 PM-10.5-110+56.5-110

09/05/22 12:44:14 AM-10.5-105+56.5-110

09/05/22 10:10:49 AM-10-105+56-110

The number closes at -10 across the board.

Action was leaning towards Northwestern but closing on balanced.

Tennessee vs. Pittsburgh

Tennessee opened at -5 and moved to -6.5 within a two-hour period before landing on the -7.

09/04/22 3:47:51 PM+5-115+63.5-110

09/04/22 3:53:25 PM+5-110+63.5-110

09/04/22 5:03:39 PM+5-110+65-110

09/04/22 5:45:29 PM+6-110+65-110

09/04/22 5:51:09 PM+6.5-110+65-110

09/04/22 6:19:42 PM+6.5-110+65.5-110

09/04/22 6:37:46 PM+6.5-110+65-110

09/04/22 8:20:00 PM+7-110+65-110

The line was closing at Vols -6 all books after dropping back to -5.5 at some.  Action was 60% on Tennessee.

App State vs. Texas A&M

This line has trended from -17 to -19 and back down to -18 and back up to close at -18.5.  Recreational books were -17 to -19 and back down to -18.  A difficult game to read based on the line movement.

80% of the spread action was on the Aggies however.

Memphis vs. Navy

The first three hours we see Memphis open at -7 and the line ends up on -6 before floating between -6 and -6.5.

09/04/22 3:47:51 PM+7-115+49-110

09/04/22 3:53:25 PM+6.5-110+49-110

09/04/22 5:03:39 PM+6.5-107+49-110

09/04/22 6:02:47 PM+6-110+49-110

09/04/22 6:37:46 PM+6-107+49-110

09/04/22 7:25:45 PM+6.5-110+49-110

On Thursday and overnight we saw this one drop to -5 and it closed at -4.5 across the board.

Iowa vs. Iowa State

The line was mostly steady at Cyclones -3.5 throughout the week.

Houston vs. Texas Tech

The trend was -2.5 to -4 favoring Texas Tech. Action was mostly balanced.

Virginia vs. Illinois

This one moved from Fighting Illini -3.5 to -4.5 and back down to close at -3.5 across the board with balanced action.

BetOnline Closing Action

Ohio vs Penn St

Penn St -28 pts 53%

Over 54   76%

Alabama vs Texas

Alabama -21 pts 81%

Over 64.5    73%

Action was similar across the board at other books.

Marshall vs Notre Dame

Notre Dame -20.5 pts 84%

Under 49.5  59%

South Carolina vs Arkansas

Arkansas – 9 pts 69%

Over 55.5 73%

As noted above, some books were still seeing upwards of 80% of the action on Arkansas.

Tennessee vs Pittsburgh

Tennesse – 6 pts 59%

Over 64.5 78%

Evening Games

Florida vs Kentucky

Florida -6 pts 51%

Over 51   56%

USC vs Stanford

USC – 8.5pts 72%

Under 66.5 79%

Baylor vs BYU

Baylor +2.5 66%

Over 54 87%

Washington St vs Wisconsin

Wisconsin -17 Pts 66%

Under 49 63%

Colorado vs Air Force

Air Force -17.5 pts

Under 50 63 %

- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com