Jaguars @ Chiefs Division Playoff Game 2023 Prop Bets, Predictions

The surging Jacksonville Jaguars take on the Super Bowl winner favorites Kansas City Chiefs as a +8.5 dog.  We get a number of 7.25, indicating a small 1 point overlay. 

Though the sampling in the NFL is relatively small, favorites of 10/9.5 without going over the number 10 have gone 6-2 Against The Spread when there is an overlay.

It's also interesting to note that the three overlays in this line range were covered by the favorite.

This is a very mild lean for us on Kansas City -8.5.

Some Hot Trends

Jaguars are 6-1-1 Against The Spread in their last 8 vs. AFC.

Jaguars are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.

Jacksonville, however, is just 7-20-2 Against The Spread in their last 29 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

Chiefs are 9-23-1 ATS in their last 33 vs. AFC.

Chiefs are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.

Chiefs are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall.

Kansas City is 2-10-1 Against The Spread in their last 13 games following a straight up win.

Chiefs are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 home game

Jaguars vs. Chiefs Prop Bets

Rot     Player To Score First Touchdown in the Game     Moneyline
101     Travis Etienne (JAX)         +665
102     Christian Kirk (JAX)         +1400
103     Zay Jones (JAX)         +1200
104     Evan Engram (JAX)         +1100
105     Marvin Jones (JAX)         +1600
106     Trevor Lawrence (JAX)         +2000
107     JaMycal Hasty (JAX)         +2800
108     Jamal Agnew (JAX)         +3300
109     Chris Manhertz (JAX)         +5000
110     Dan Arnold (JAX)         +4500
111     Travis Kelce (KC)         +400
112     Jerick McKinnon (KC)         +550
113     Isiah Pacheco (KC)         +700
114     Juju Smith-Schuster (KC)         +900
115     Kadarius Toney (KC)         +1000
116     Mecole Hardman (KC)         +1400
117     Marquez Valdes-Scantling (KC)         +1600
119     Justin Watson (KC)         +1800
120     Patrick Mahomes (KC)         +1600
121     Ronald Jones II (KC)         +2200
122     Noah Gray (KC)         +2800
123     Skyy Moore (KC)         +2500
124     Any Other Touchdown Scorer         +700
125     No Touchdown Scorer         +8000
Rot     Trevor Lawrence (JAX) Total Passing Yards     Moneyline
1001     Over  251½  Passing Yards     -125
1002     Under  251½  Passing Yards     -105
Must Start for action.
Rot     Trevor Lawrence (JAX) Total Completions     Moneyline
1003     Over  23½  Completions     -130
1004     Under  23½  Completions     Ev
Must Start for action.
Rot     Trevor Lawrence (JAX) Total Passing Attempts     Moneyline
1005     Over  39½  Passing Attempts     +115
1006     Under  39½  Passing Attempts     -145
Must Start for action.
Rot     Trevor Lawrence (JAX) Total Touchdown Passes     Moneyline
1007     Over  1½  TD Passes     -135
1008     Under  1½  TD Passes     +105
Must Start for action.
Rot     Trevor Lawrence (JAX) Total Interceptions     Moneyline
1011     Over  ½  Interceptions     -160
1012     Under  ½  Interceptions     +130
Must Start for action.
Rot     Trevor Lawrence (JAX) Longest Completion     Moneyline
1013     Over  34½  Yards     -120
1014     Under  34½  Yards     -110
Must Start for action.
Rot     Trevor Lawrence (JAX) Total Rushing Yards     Moneyline
1015     Over  15½  Rushing Yards     -125
1016     Under  15½  Rushing Yards     -105
Must Start for action.
Rot     Travis Etienne Jr. (JAX) Total Rushing Yards     Moneyline
1041     Over  70½  Rushing Yards     -110
1042     Under  70½  Rushing Yards     -120
Must Play for action.
Rot     Travis Etienne Jr. (JAX) Total Rushing Attempts     Moneyline
1043     Over  15½  Rush Attempts     -120
1044     Under  15½  Rush Attempts     -110
Must Play for action. Must have 1 Rush Attempt for Action.
Rot     Travis Etienne Jr. (JAX) Longest Rush From Scrimmage     Moneyline
1047     Over  16½  Yards     -120
1048     Under  16½  Yards     -110
Must Play for action. Must have 1 Rush Attempt for Action.
Rot     Travis Etienne Jr. (JAX) Total Receptions     Moneyline
1049     Over  2½  Receptions     -140
1050     Under  2½  Receptions     +110
Must Play for action.
Rot     Travis Etienne Jr. (JAX) Total Receiving Yards     Moneyline
1051     Over  19½  Receiving Yards     -140
1052     Under  19½  Receiving Yards     +110
Must Play for action.
Rot     Travis Etienne Jr. (JAX) Longest Reception     Moneyline
1053     Over  11½  Yards     -120
1054     Under  11½  Yards     -110
Must Play for action. If player has 0 receptions the under Yards wins.
Rot     Christian Kirk (JAX) Total Receptions     Moneyline
1101     Over  5½  Receptions     -120
1102     Under  5½  Receptions     -110
Must Play for action.
Rot     Christian Kirk (JAX) Total Receiving Yards     Moneyline
1103     Over  66½  Receiving Yards     -135
1104     Under  66½  Receiving Yards     +105

Rot     Patrick Mahomes (KC) Total Passing Yards     Moneyline
2001     Over  315½  Passing Yards     -115
2002     Under  315½  Passing Yards     -115
Must Start for action.
Rot     Patrick Mahomes (KC) Total Completions     Moneyline
2003     Over  27½  Completions     +105
2004     Under  27½  Completions     -135
Must Start for action.
Rot     Patrick Mahomes (KC) Total Passing Attempts     Moneyline
2005     Over  39½  Passing Attempts     -115
2006     Under  39½  Passing Attempts     -115
Must Start for action.
Rot     Patrick Mahomes (KC) Total Touchdown Passes     Moneyline
2007     Over  2½  TD Passes     -120
2008     Under  2½  TD Passes     -110
Must Start for action.
Rot     Patrick Mahomes (KC) Total Interceptions     Moneyline
2011     Over  ½  Interceptions     -110
2012     Under  ½  Interceptions     -120
Must Start for action.
Rot     Patrick Mahomes (KC) Longest Completion     Moneyline
2013     Over  38½  Yards     -120
2014     Under  38½  Yards     -110
Must Start for action.
Rot     Patrick Mahomes (KC) Total Rushing Yards     Moneyline
2015     Over  23½  Rushing Yards     -120
2016     Under  23½  Rushing Yards     -110
Must Start for action.
Rot     Patrick Mahomes (KC) Longest Rush From Scrimmage     Moneyline
2021     Over  12½  Yards     -120
2022     Under  12½  Yards     -110
Must Play for action. Must have 1 Rush Attempt for Action.
Rot     Isiah Pacheco (KC) Total Rushing Yards     Moneyline
2041     Over  54½  Rushing Yards     -110
2042     Under  54½  Rushing Yards     -120
Must Play for action.
Rot     Isiah Pacheco (KC) Total Rushing Attempts     Moneyline
2043     Over  13½  Rush Attempts     Ev
2044     Under  13½  Rush Attempts     -130
Must Play for action. Must have 1 Rush Attempt for Action.
Rot     Isiah Pacheco (KC) Longest Rush From Scrimmage     Moneyline
2047     Over  13½  Yards     -120
2048     Under  13½  Yards     -110
Must Play for action. Must have 1 Rush Attempt for Action.
Rot     Isiah Pacheco (KC) Total Receiving Yards     Moneyline
2051     Over  7½  Receiving Yards     -125
2052     Under  7½  Receiving Yards     -105
Must Play for action.
Rot     Jerick McKinnon (KC) Total Rushing Yards     Moneyline
2061     Over  25½  Rushing Yards     -120
2062     Under  25½  Rushing Yards     -110
Must Play for action.
Rot     Jerick McKinnon (KC) Longest Rush From Scrimmage     Moneyline
2067     Over  9½  Yards     -120
2068     Under  9½  Yards     -110

- Mary Montgomery, Gambling911.com