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Likely the biggest test for the Tennessee Vols (2-0) this season, the No. 11 ranked team will face off against Florida.
Tennessee was -6.5 and occasionally moving to -7. The Vols were rated at No. 12 on Sagarin (85.50). Florida, with their 1-1 record, is rated at No. 39 (76.96) on Sagarin. The Gators get the 2.00 home field advantage.
This gives us a line of -3.54 and shows an overlay of 3.
We have a comparable from last season that featured the Vols. Tennessee -6.5 vs. Pittsburgh had the Vols just managed to squeak by with a cover and a similar 3 point overlay.
Tennessee vs Florida | College Football Week 3 Predictions @BetUS_Official https://t.co/7QZD4dY7Di via @YouTube
— gambling911 (@gambling911) September 15, 2023
Other comparables included:
TCU covered at -6.5 to -7 vs. Kansas with an overlay of 3.5.
North Carolina -6.5 to -7 Duke saw the Blue Devils cover with a UNC 3 point win and here we have an overlay of up to 3 points.
History does not support a Vols victory Saturday.
The Volunteers (2-0) seemingly have their best chance to beat rebuilding Florida (1-1) in Gainesville for the first time since 2003 and end a losing streak that started with Phillip Fulmer and spans the Tennessee coaching tenures of Lane Kiffin, Derek Dooley, Butch Jones, Jeremy Pruitt and Josh Heupel.
“At the end of the day in this game, yesterday has nothing to do with today,” Heupel said. “The previous play has nothing to do with what’s going to happen on the next play. It’s about preparing the right way and practicing the right way. That will lead to you playing the right way.”
- Mary Montgomery, Gambling911.com
