Oddsmakers Move Trump to 2024 Favorite; Debate Betting Heats Up
There's been a major market move ahead of Wednesday’s Republican debate.
In the wake of a WAPO/ABC poll that puts Donald Trump 10% up on Joe Biden, the former president's odds are crashing, and he’s now clear favorite.
In addition to President Biden slipping, Ron DeSantis is not being supported by bettors. As doubts grow over Biden being the nominee, odds for Gavin Newsom and Kamala Harris are both shortening.
Oddsmakers have also created wagering opportunities specifically for the GOP debate, which takes place in Simi Valley, California, Wednesday evening at 9 p.m. ET.
Betting options include most speaking time, total non-facts uttered, Biden criticism and more. You can find the full list below.
POTUS Odds Changes:
TRUMP +165 (dropped from +190)
BIDEN +175 (increased from +150)
NEWSOM +800 (dropped from +1000)
OBAMA +1400 (no change)
RAMASWAMY +1600 (increased from +1200)
HALEY +1600 (-)
DESANTIS +1800 (increased from +1200)
HARRIS +2000 (dropped from +3300)
Republican Nominee Odds Changes:
TRUMP -450 (dropped from -300)
DESANTIS +750 (increased from +500)
RAMASWAMY +1000 (increased from +800)
HALEY +1000 (dropped from +1200)
Democratic Nominee Odds Changes:
BIDEN -275 (increased from -400)
NEWSOM +450 (dropped from +500)
HARRIS +800 (dropped from +1200)
RFK +1600 (increased from +2000)
GOP Debate Odds
Total Debate Viewers
Over 10.5 million
Under 10.5 million
How many "suspicious claims" will be made by candidates? (According to WaPost Fact Checker blog)
Over 10.5 claims
Under 10.5 claims
(Note: BetOnline's political oddsmaker commented on the increase from the last debate considering there is one less candidate, saying, "Vivek gets worse by the hour, and he'll talk more with one less mouth on stage."
Which phrase will be said by any candidate?
Radical left -400
Weaponize/d justice system -250
Woke mind virus -120
Build a wall +300
Hunter Biden's laptop +400
They hate our country +700
Which candidate will be the first to criticize Trump?
Chris Christie +150
Ron DeSantis +150
Mike Pence +500
Nikki Haley +600
Tim Scott +1800
Vivek Ramaswamy +2500
Which candidate will say "Trump" the most times?
Mike Pence +240
Chris Christie +250
Vivek Ramaswamy +250
Ron DeSantis +500
Nikki Haley +700
Tim Scott +2000
Which candidate will say "Biden" the most times?
Ron DeSantis +200
Nikki Haley +225
Vivek Ramaswamy +400
Chris Christie +500
Mike Pence +700
Tim Scott +1400
Which candidate will record the most speaking time?
Vivek Ramaswamy +175
Mike Pence +220
Ron DeSantis +220
Nikki Haley +1000
Chris Christie +1200
Tim Scott +2000
Which candidate will be declared the "winner" by Fox/Univision Poll?
Vivek Ramaswamy +150
Nikki Haley +200
Ron DeSantis +200
Tim Scott +1200
Mike Pence +1400
Chris Christie +2500
- BetOnline Press
