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In the New Mexico Bowl, New Mexico State should have a home field advantage when they face Fresno State. New Mexico State is 10-4 and Fresno State is 8-4. New Mexico State is a FG favorite by the NCAA football odds, but will they be the winning NCAAF pick for this game? The line on this game has moved from Aggies -1.5 to -4.5.
BetUS host Gary Segars, and expert handicappers Kyle Hunter and Parker Fleming preview the College Football New Mexico Bowl between New Mexico State and Fresno State. They'll go over the best value College Football odds available and betting trends and share their College Football expert predictions, picks and best bets!
New Mexico Bowl: New Mexico State vs Fresno State | College Football Pre... @BetUS_Official https://t.co/BxTNubDGMF via @YouTube
— gambling911 (@gambling911) December 14, 2023
Both teams come into this bowl game with four losses apiece but there is one glaring difference. Fresno State has managed to go just 4-8 Against The Spread and it is a bit dangerous going against a team with a winning record this late in the season that is so off ATS.
It's interesting to note that the Bulldogs started off the season 8-1 Straight Up.
Even with what would be home field advantage, our number still favors Fresno State at 1.17, which indicates the wrong team is favored.
The line range is primarily 3 to 4, even though we've seen the number down to 2.5 at a handful of books.
Fresno State will be without their head coach. Jeff Tedford announced on Dec. 1 that he was stepping away from the program to address personal health concerns.
New Mexico State vs. Fresno State Prop Bets
Diego Pavia had an Over/Under of 192.5 passing yards for New Mexico State. Pavia ompleted 56.3% of pass attempts throughout the season … Threw for 1728 yards and 21 touchdowns in an offense that focused on running the football.
Mikey Keene was coming in at 248.5.
Game Props
3 Straight Scores by Either Team
yes
-264
no
+190
Time of First Score O/U 6 (mins elapsed)
Under(6)
-143
Over(6)
+106
Team to Score First
FRE
+101
NMS
-136
Any Team to Score 40+ Points
yes
+323
no
-501
First score of Game is Touchdown
yes
-286
no
+191
Team to Score Last
FRE
-103
NMS
-130
Defensive or special teams TD scored
yes
+208
no
-295
Will there be Overtime
yes
+800
no
-2000
Will there be a Scoreless Quarter
yes
+209
no
-295
Head to Head Props
Most Passing TDs: Diego Pavia (NMS) vs Mikey Keene (FRE)
-107
-136
Most Passing Yards: Diego Pavia (NMS) vs Mikey Keene (FRE)
+186
-304
Most Receiving Yards: Erik Brooks (FRE) vs Jonathan Brady (NMS)
-134
-113
Most Receiving Yards: Jalen Moss (FRE) vs Jonathan Brady (NMS)
-124
-121
Most Receiving Yards: Jonathan Brady (NMS) vs Tre Watson (FRE)
-167
+110
Most Receiving Yards: Jonathan Brady (NMS) vs Mac Dalena (FRE)
-106
-143
Most Rushing Yards: Malik Sherrod (FRE) vs Star Thomas (NMS)
-667
+330
- Tony Caliente, Gambling911.com
