Stefon Diggs Trade Shifts Texans Super Bowl Odds Dramatically From 22-1 to 10-1

Written by :

Dan Shapiro

Published on :

3 April, 2024

Bills odds to win Super Bowl move from 12-1 to 16-1.
Texans now 4th shortest odds to win the 2025 Super Bowl.
Win totals for both teams remain unchanged.

If you ever wondered just how much a single player can shift the odds, look no further than Wednesday's blockbuster trade of Stefon Diggs to the Houston Texans from the Buffalo Bills.

The Bills odds of winning the 2025 Super Bowl did not move as drastically as one might think (12-1 to 16-1). They took a slight hit in the AFC conference (7-1 to 9-1). Buffalo receives a second round pick in the 2025 NFL Draft.

The noticeable shift comes with Houston's Super Bowl odds moving from 22-1 all the way to 10-1. This gives the Texans the 4th shortest odds of winning the Super Bowl in 2025.

Reports of Diggs’ discontent with his role in the offense has been simmering for a few years despite arguably being Buffalo's most lethal receiving threat.

Diggs has topped 1,000 yards in each of his past six seasons. In his first season with the Bills, Diggs became the first player ever on that team to lead the league in both yards receiving (1,535) and catches (127).

More Changes:

Divisions:

- Houston went from +150 (3/2) to win the division to -110 (10/11). They remain the favorite.

- Buffalo went from +130 to win the division to +160 (8/5). They remain the favorite.

Win Totals:

- Houston remained at 9.5 wins after the trade

- Buffalo went from 10.5 to 10 wins after the trade

Super Bowl LIX Odds

Rot    NFL Super Bowl 2025 Winner    Moneyline
1001    San Francisco 49ers        +600
1002    Kansas City Chiefs        +600
1003    Baltimore Ravens        +900
1004    Cincinnati Bengals        +1400
1005    Buffalo Bills        +1400
1006    Detroit Lions        +1200
1007    Philadelphia Eagles        +1600
1008    Dallas Cowboys        +1800
1009    Miami Dolphins        +2000
1010    Green Bay Packers        +2000
1011    New York Jets        +2200
1012    Houston Texans        +1400
1013    Los Angeles Chargers        +3500
1014    Jacksonville Jaguars        +4000
1015    Los Angeles Rams        +3000
1016    Chicago Bears        +3500
1017    Atlanta Falcons        +3000
1018    Cleveland Browns        +4000
1019    Indianapolis Colts        +6000
1020    Minnesota Vikings        +6000
1021    Tampa Bay Buccaneers        +6000
1022    Pittsburgh Steelers        +5000
1023    Seattle Seahawks        +8000
1024    New Orleans Saints        +8000
1025    Arizona Cardinals        +8000
1026    Las Vegas Raiders        +8000
1027    Denver Broncos        +10000
1028    Washington Commanders        +12500
1029    New England Patriots        +12500
1030    New York Giants        +12500
1031    Tennessee Titans        +12500
1032    Carolina Panthers        +25000