Trump Sentencing Odds: BetOnline Has the Chances Quite Long

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Press Release

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In a Fox News interview aired yesterday, Donald Trump expressed that he is "OK" with the possibility of serving jail time or being placed under house arrest following his conviction last week.

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Well, at least according to the oddsmakers, he shouldn't lose too much sleep over the sentencing because the chances are long.

BetOnline.ag set odds for Trump going jail, being placed under house arrest or receiving a custodial sentence today.

The chances of Trump going to jail this year are just 14.3%, when you convert the implied probability from the odds. You can find all the numbers below.

In other political news, there are two close House of Representatives primaries happening this week.

The New Jersey race may be themed around the Israel/Gaza conflict. Rob Menendez is the incumbent with far superior endorsements, but much has been made of his backing from pro-Israel groups.

Ravinder Bhalla, the Hoboken mayor, has matched Menendez in fundraising and has been vocally pro-ceasefire. Bhalla is the current favorite for that race.

Politics odds are subject to change and will be updated in real-time.

 

Will Trump receive a Custodial Sentence in the Stormy Daniels case?

Yes       4/1       (+400)

No        1/8       (-800)

 

Will Trump be sentenced to house arrest?

Yes       10/1     (+1000)

No        1/40     (-4000)

 

Will Trump be convicted and serve jail time before 2025?

Yes       6/1       (+600)

No        1/15     (-1500)

 

Will Trump be convicted and serve jail time before 2026?

Yes       5/2       (+250)

No        1/4       (-400)

 

Will Trump appear as guest on Joe Rogan podcast?

Yes       2/1       (+200)

No        1/3       (-300)

 

Montana-02: Republican Primary                                             

Troy Downing               4/5                   (-120)

Denny Rehberg             1/1                   (+100)

Elsie Arntzen                 10/1                 (+1000)

Stacey Zinn                   25/1                 (+2500)

Kenneth Bognor            65/1                 (+6500)

Ric Holden                    200/1               (+20000)

                                               

New Jersey-08: Democratic Primary                                         

Ravinder Bhalla             5/7                   (-140)

Rob Menendez             1/1                   (+100)

Kyle Jasey                     100/1               (+1000)

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