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ESPN.com made a few March Madness 2010 predictions and Gambling911.com has examined the betting action on each of these teams and their respective games of the first round.
Is there a double-digit seed we all agree will spring an upset in the first round? Yes, exactly one: San Diego State over Tennessee. I confess that I switched the winner of that game back and forth a few times, but finally did land on the Aztecs. AJ says, "The Aztecs are a team with both size and experience under the basket, which is exactly the type of team the Volunteers didn't want to see this early. After all, if Wayne Chism's contributions are minimized, there isn't enough of a supporting cast to make up the difference." And Keith says, "The Mountain West has been historically horrendous in the Dance, but I like San Diego State to take out Tennessee. I love Kawhi Leonard, but the Aztecs better make their free throws."
San Diego State may be a consensus play but not among sports bettors.
San Diego State was a +3 underdog vs. Tennessee at SportsInteraction.com with only a little more than 25 percent backing San Diego State.
Northern Iowa over UNLV was another near consensus pick and this one was also favored by the betting public. Northern Iowa was a +1 underdog and we suspect they could become the favorite by game time.
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Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com
