Wrong Team Favored in UGA vs. Ole Miss Game But Rebels Missing Top Rusher
The Georgia Bulldogs (7-1 Straight Up) will face off against the Ole Miss Rebels (7-2 SU).
Week 11 @ Ole Miss
Line Trend - This one opened at some books at UGA -3 but has trended at -2.5 to kick off the new week.
Sagarin – We get Ole Miss as being favored here at 0.98. This suggests that the wrong team is favored. This bodes especially well for the dog here (83%).
Action Trend – Action by mid-week was 71% cash and 76% tickets.
Historic Analysis - The underdog has performed well in similar scenarios.
- Georgia -2.5 to -1 Alabama (Alabama 3.52 Wrong Team Favored) - The home underdog covers.
- Georgia Tech -2.5 to -3 Syracuse (Syracuse -3 Wrong Team Favored - The home underdog covers.
- North Carolina -2.5 Minnesota (Minnesota 0.92 - Wrong Team Favored) - The home underdog covers.
-
Mississippi State -2.5 LSU (Dog LSU Covers wins big) LSU 4.96 Wrong Team Favored - Overlay 7 - The home underdog covers.
Potential Concerns
Georgia has failed to cover in 6 of their last 7 games. They are just 2-6 Against The Spread so far this year despite being 7-1 Straight Up.
And there is more.
Injured Mississippi running back Henry Parrish Jr. isn’t on the depth chart ahead of Saturday’s game against No. 2 Georgia.
Parrish went down with what appeared to be a serious left leg injury in the 16th-ranked Rebels’ win over Arkansas. The depth chart Monday only indicated either Ulysses Bentley IV, Matt Jones or Domonique Thomas would start in Saturday’s game with the Bulldogs.
“Yeah, he’s out. That’s all I’ve got,” Kiffin told reporters on Sunday regarding Parrish. He didn’t offer any more details Monday on the Miami transfer’s injury.
Parrish is sixth in the Southeastern Conference in rushing with 678 yards and 10 touchdowns.
“We’re going to need some guys to step up,” Kiffin said on Monday. “That’s a big loss for us. He’d done well for us this year with the ball and in protection.
“Teams face adversity and that (running back) room’s facing it.”
Opening Season 2024 Futures Odds to Win Championships
All futures odds are updated in real time here at BetOnline
Power Five Conferences
|
ACC Conference Championship 2024 |
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2/26/24 |
8/29/24 |
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Clemson |
5/2 (+250) |
7/4 ↓ (+175) |
|
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Miami Florida |
5/1 |
7/2 ↓ (+350) |
|
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NC State |
9/1 |
11/2 ↓ (+550) |
|
|
Florida State |
5/2 (+250) |
13/2 ↑ (+650) |
|
|
Virginia Tech |
12/1 |
8/1 ↓ |
|
|
SMU |
22/1 |
9/1 ↓ |
|
|
Louisville |
11/2 (+550) |
19/2 ↑ (+950) |
|
|
Georgia Tech |
100/1 |
16/1 ↓ |
|
|
North Carolina |
22/1 |
25/1 ↑ |
|
|
Syracuse |
50/1 |
40/1 ↓ |
|
|
Pittsburgh |
125/1 |
66/1 ↓ |
|
|
California |
50/1 |
75/1 ↑ |
|
|
Duke |
100/1 |
150/1 ↑ |
|
|
Boston College |
75/1 |
175/1 ↑ |
|
|
Virginia |
125/1 |
200/1 ↑ |
|
|
Wake Forest |
250/1 |
250/1 |
|
|
Stanford |
500/1 |
500/1 |
|
|
|
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|
Big Ten Conference Championship 2024 |
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|
|
2/26/24 |
8/29/24 |
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|
Ohio State |
5/4 (+125) |
7/5 ↑ (+140) |
|
|
Oregon |
9/4 (+225) |
2/1 ↑ |
|
|
Penn State |
6/1 |
5/1 ↓ |
|
|
Michigan |
9/2 (+450) |
8/1 ↑ |
|
|
USC |
25/1 |
18/1 ↓ |
|
|
Iowa |
33/1 |
20/1 ↓ |
|
|
Nebraska |
75/1 |
40/1 ↓ |
|
|
Washington |
50/1 |
66/1 ↑ |
|
|
Wisconsin |
80/1 |
66/1 ↓ |
|
|
Maryland |
50/1 |
100/1 ↑ |
|
|
UCLA |
80/1 |
100/1 ↑ |
|
|
Illinois |
125/1 |
200/1 ↑ |
|
|
Michigan State |
125/1 |
200/1 ↑ |
|
|
Minnesota |
200/1 |
200/1 |
|
|
Indiana |
250/1 |
250/1 |
|
|
Purdue |
200/1 |
250/1 ↑ |
|
|
Northwestern |
150/1 |
300/1 ↑ |
|
|
Big 12 Conference Championship 2024 |
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|
2/26/24 |
8/29/24 |
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Utah |
7/2 (+350) |
14/5 ↓ (+280) |
|
|
Kansas State |
3/1 |
9/2 ↑ (+450) |
|
|
Oklahoma State |
16/1 |
6/1 ↓ |
|
|
UCF |
10/1 |
13/2 ↓ (+650) |
|
|
Iowa State |
12/1 |
8/1 ↓ |
|
|
Kansas |
13/2 (+650) |
19/2 ↑ (+950) |
|
|
Arizona |
7/1 |
12/1 ↑ |
|
|
Texas Tech |
8/1 |
18/1 ↑ |
|
|
Colorado |
50/1 |
20/1 ↓ |
|
|
TCU |
16/1 |
20/1 ↑ |
|
|
West Virginia |
22/1 |
20/1 ↓ |
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Baylor |
45/1 |
66/1 ↑ |
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Cincinnati |
66/1 |
75/1 ↑ |
|
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Arizona State |
100/1 |
100/1 |
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|
BYU |
125/1 |
100/1 ↓ |
|
|
Houston |
100/1 |
100/1 |
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|
SEC Conference Championship 2024 |
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|
2/26/24 |
8/29/24 |
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Georgia |
2/1 |
33/20 ↓ (+165) |
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Texas |
5/2 (+250) |
4/1 |
|
|
Alabama |
9/1 |
5/1 |
|
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Mississippi |
13/2 (+650) |
15/2 |
|
|
LSU |
10/1 |
10/1 |
|
|
Texas A&M |
22/1 |
10/1 |
|
|
Missouri |
11/1 |
18/1 |
|
|
Tennessee |
9/1 |
18/1 |
|
|
Oklahoma |
50/1 |
25/1 |
|
|
Auburn |
50/1 |
33/1 |
|
|
Florida |
100/1 |
100/1 |
|
|
Kentucky |
80/1 |
100/1 |
|
|
South Carolina |
90/1 |
100/1 |
|
|
Arkansas |
125/1 |
250/1 |
|
|
Mississippi State |
200/1 |
300/1 |
|
|
Vanderbilt |
250/1 |
300/1 |
|
Non-Power Four Conferences
|
AAC Championship 2024 |
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|
|
6/26/24 |
8/29/24 |
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Memphis |
11/5 (+220) |
2/1 ↓ |
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Tulane |
7/2 |
3/1 ↓ |
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UTSA |
11/2 (+550) |
9/2 ↓ (+450) |
|
South Florida |
5/1 |
13/2 ↑ |
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Rice |
12/1 |
16/1 ↑ |
|
East Carolina |
14/1 |
18/1 ↑ |
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UAB |
25/1 |
20/1 ↓ |
|
Army |
22/1 |
25/1 ↑ |
|
Navy |
25/1 |
25/1 |
|
North Texas |
22/1 |
25/1 ↑ |
|
Florida Atlantic |
22/1 |
28/1 ↑ |
|
Tulsa |
33/1 |
40/1 ↑ |
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Charlotte |
50/1 |
50/1 |
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Temple |
100/1 |
100/1 |
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Conference USA Championship 2024 |
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|
6/26/24 |
8/29/24 |
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Liberty |
1/2 |
4/9 ↓ (-225) |
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Western Kentucky |
15/4 (+375) |
5/1 ↑ |
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Jacksonville State |
5/1 |
21/4 ↑ (+525) |
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Sam Houston State |
18/1 |
14/1 ↓ |
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|
Louisiana Tech |
25/1 |
22/1 ↓ |
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|
Middle Tennessee |
28/1 |
28/1 |
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|
UTEP |
50/1 |
50/1 |
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|
New Mexico State |
50/1 |
75/1 ↑ |
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FIU |
100/1 |
100/1 |
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|
MAC Conference Championship 2024 |
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|
6/26/24 |
8/29/24 |
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Miami Ohio |
5/2 (+250) |
5/2 |
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Toledo |
11/4 (+275) |
3/1 ↑ |
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Bowling Green |
7/1 |
11/2 ↓ (+550) |
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Western Michigan |
7/1 |
11/2 ↓ (+550) |
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Northern Illinois |
13/2 (+650) |
7/1 ↑ |
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Ohio |
8/1 |
10/1 ↑ |
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|
Central Michigan |
16/1 |
12/1 ↓ |
||
|
Eastern Michigan |
20/1 |
25/1 ↑ |
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|
Ball State |
28/1 |
33/1 ↑ |
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|
Buffalo |
28/1 |
33/1 ↑ |
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|
Akron |
66/1 |
66/1 ↑ |
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|
Kent State |
100/1 |
100/1 ↑ |
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|
Mountain West Conference Championship 2024 |
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|
6/26/24 |
8/29/24 |
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|
Boise State |
5/4 (+125) |
2/3 ↓ (-150) |
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|
UNLV |
5/1 |
7/2 ↓ (+350) |
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|
Fresno State |
7/2 (+350) |
6/1 ↑ |
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|
Air Force |
12/1 |
12/1 |
||
|
Colorado State |
10/1 |
16/1 ↑ |
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|
Wyoming |
12/1 |
16/1 ↑ |
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|
Hawaii |
50/1 |
33/1 ↓ |
||
|
San Diego State |
14/1 |
50/1 ↑ |
||
|
San Jose State |
40/1 |
50/1 ↑ |
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|
Utah State |
16/1 |
50/1 ↑ |
||
|
New Mexico |
200/1 |
200/1 |
||
|
Nevada |
100/1 |
250/1 ↑ |
||
|
Sun Belt Conference Championship 2024 |
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|
|
6/26/24 |
8/29/24 |
|
Texas State |
4/1 |
5/2 ↓ (+250) |
|
Appalachian State |
7/2 (+350) |
13/5 ↓ (+260) |
|
Louisiana |
13/2 (+650) |
5/1 ↓ |
|
James Madison |
7/1 |
7/1 |
|
Arkansas State |
12/1 |
12/1 |
|
South Alabama |
17/2 (+850) |
12/1 ↑ |
|
Troy |
9/1 |
16/1 ↑ |
|
Marshall |
16/1 |
18/1 ↑ |
|
Coastal Carolina |
14/1 |
26/1 ↑ |
|
Georgia Southern |
18/1 |
33/1 ↑ |
|
Old Dominion |
18/1 |
40/1 ↑ |
|
Southern Mississippi |
33/1 |
40/1 ↑ |
|
Georgia State |
33/1 |
55/1 ↑ |
|
UL Monroe |
200/1 |
250/1 ↑ |
|
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