Ravens vs. Chargers MNF Betting Preview

The Ravens take on the Chargers in a marquee matchup Monday night.  Baltimore comes into this game with a 7-4 record while the Chargers sit at -7-3.

Ravens @ Chargers

Opening Line - This one opened at Ravens -3

Line Trend  - The line has moved from Ravens -3 to -2.5.

Sagarin – Sagarin gives -1.46 favoring Baltimore.

Action Trend – 60 to 65% of the action was on Baltimore.

(NEW) Due Factor – Despite their 7-4 record Straight Up, Baltimore is just 5-5 Against The Spread.  They are looking to avoid three straight failed covers.  LA comes into this one with four straight ATS wins.  Each of those were Straight Up victories as well.

Comparables

• New Orleans  -3 to -2.5 Carolina (home dog covered and won by 8 points) New Orleans 0.61 Overlay of 2 to 2.5 points - Home dog covers.
• Colorado -2.5/-3 Kansas (Colorado 0.94 Overlay) 65% action on Colorado. - Home dog covers.
• Las Vegas -3 to -2.5 Chicago (Chicago 1.88 - Overlay of 1 to On The Money) - Home dog covers.
• Texas A&M -3/2.5 South Carolina (Balanced Action) (Texas A&M 1.94 slight overlay). - Home dog covers.
• Miami -2.5 Virginia ( home dog Virginia covers with Miami winning by just two points) Miami 0.65 Overlay of 2 points - Home dog covers.
• San Jose State -2.5 SDSU (home dog SDSU covers and wins by a lot) San Jose State 1.45 Overlay 1 point - Home dog covers.
• Utah +3 to -2.5 Oregon (home team Oregon covered with 3 point win) Oregon 1.16 Overlay of 2 to Wrong Team Favored Underlay 3.5 - Utah favored from Wednesday onward. - Home dog covers.
• Oklahoma -2.5 TTU (home dog Texas Tech covers and wins in overtime) OK 1.48 Overlay of 1 - Home dog covers.
• Buffalo -2.5 Kansas City (road favorite Buffalo covers with 4-point win) Buffalo 0.1 Overlay 1.5 to 2.5 - Road favorite covers.
• Alabama -3/-2.5 LSU (Alabama 1.63 Overlay) - Balanced Action - Road favorite covers.

Ravens Player to Watch

K Justin Tucker missed two field goals last week and is under pressure after spending most of his career beyond reproach. He’s missed six field goals on the season and is 4 for 12 from 50-plus yards since the start of last season.

Chargers Player to Watch

WR Ladd McConkey had a career-high 123 yards on six receptions against Cincinnati. The rookie came up with clutch catches of 28 and 27 yards to set up the game-winning touchdown.

Key Matchup

Chargers RB J.K. Dobbins vs. Ravens’ run defense. Dobbins showed promise during his time in Baltimore, but he never was able to live up to that potential because of injuries. Now in Los Angeles on a one-year “prove it” contract, Dobbins has nearly matched his most productive season as a professional with 726 yards and eight touchdowns in 10 games. After seeing Pittsburgh run the ball 34 times last week, the Chargers will be glad to copy that bruising approach with Dobbins. The Ravens are allowing 77.5 rushing yards per game, but even the sturdiest defense can buckle against that volume of work, so getting off the field will be critical.

Key Injuries

Baltimore’s defense has one significant injury concern, with LB Roquan Smith (hamstring) questionable to go this week after he was hurt against the Steelers. The good news is S Kyle Hamilton does not have an injury designation. He has been nursing an ankle problem, although he played against Pittsburgh. … Chargers OLB Khalil Mack (groin) is questionable after the veteran pass rusher didn’t play against Cincinnati. ... McConkey is also questionable because of a shoulder injury.