Bills vs. Rams Betting Preview - December 8

The Buffalo Bills come into LA as a -3.5 road favorite against the Rams.

Bills Player to Watch

WR Amari Cooper. He has so far played a valuable bit role since being acquired in a trade with Cleveland. He’s scored a TD and made a highlight reel play last weekend by making a one-handed catch and, before getting tackled, lateraled the ball back to Josh Allen to set up the quarterback’s passing and receiving TD. Cooper’s getting healthier after being hampered by a left wrist injury, and is expected to play a larger role in the passing attack down the stretch.

Rams Player to Watch

LB Omar Speights. Little was expected of Speights as an undrafted free agent out of LSU, but he has quickly established himself as a promising piece of the Rams young defense. Speights had a career-high 10 tackles versus the Saints and was constantly around the ball. Los Angeles will need him to maintain that level of activity against Buffalo’s high-powered offense.

Key Matchup

Rams offensive line vs. Bills defensive line. Keep QB Matthew Stafford upright, and open up holes for RB Kyren Williams. It’s a pretty simple formula for the Rams, and they executed it well in New Orleans, letting Williams rush for 104 yards while Stafford was only sacked twice. Buffalo has two disruptive ends in Gregory Rousseau (6 1/2 sacks, 15 tackles for loss) and A.J. Epenesa (5 sacks), so keeping them in check will be a challenge. The Bills are also proving to be sturdier in stopping the run in recent weeks, though there was statistical regression last week with San Francisco reduced to keeping the ball on the ground in heavy snowfall.

Line Analysis

We have Buffalo at 7.25 with the actual line set at -3.5.  That's quite the underlay.

This one has moved from -4.5 to -3.5. 

75% of the action was on the Bills.

Comparables

• Bills -4.5 to -3.5 Colts (Bills 5.56 Underlay) - Road favorite covers.
• Packers (-4) -4.5 to -3.5 Jaguars  (Packers 7.65 - Big Underlay) - Home dog covers.
• Clemson -4.5 to -3.5 and back up to -4.5 FSU (road favorite Clemson covers and wins by 6 points) Clemson 7.82 Underlay of 3.5 to 4.5 - Road favorite covers.