Ravens vs. Texans Betting Preview - Christmas Day Game

Another critical game this Christmas Day as the Ravens take on the Texans in Houston.

Line Analysis and Betting Action

The line on this game has moved from -3.5 to -6 favoring the road team Ravens.

Sagarin gives us a number of Baltimore -2.09, indicating a significant overlay.

Comparables

Here we can look at any prior games featuring an overlay and a road favorite where the line has moved from either 3, 3.5 or eveh 4 to 5.5 or 6.

• Memphis -3 to -5 West Virginia Bowl Game (Memphis 1.94 Overlay) - Road favorite covers.
• Miami -3.5 to -5 Louisville (Miami 2.01 Overlay) - Road favorite covers.
• Baltimore -3.5 to -5 Pittsburgh (Bal 2.88 - On The Money to Overlay of 2) - Home dog covers.
• FAU -3 to -5.5 Ohio (home dog wins outright) FAU 2.95 On the Money to a 2.5 overlay - Home dog covers.

News and Notes

Dealing with the Ravens Derrick Henry along with all the challenges that quarterback Lamar Jackson presents makes the top-ranked Ravens one of Houston’s more difficult matchups.

Henry, who ranks second in the NFL with 1,636 yards rushing, has had some of his greatest success against the Texans. Four of the 30-year-old’s six career 200-yard rushing games have been against Houston, including a career-high 250 in the season finale in the 2020 season to surpass 2,000 yards.

“You talk about MVP, (Jackson’s) definitely the MVP in my mind just for what he’s doing not only in the run game but also throwing the football,” Texans head coach DeMeco Ryans said. “The accuracy, the decision-making, like, he’s playing unbelievable ball right now, so it’s going to be a really tough challenge for us this week.”

Texans Injuries

Tank Dell sustained a season-ending knee injury in Saturday’s loss to Kansas City. His injury is another blow to a receiving group that already was without star Stefon Diggs, who tore his ACL in Week 8.

“The position we’re in, it’s not a lot of times where you can sulk in your feelings for very long,” quarterback C.J. Stroud said. “You’ve got to just keep rolling. I think that’s a testament to just life in general. Everybody has stuff on their plate. Everybody is going through something. And just because we’re in this position, doesn’t mean you get to feel sorry for yourself.”