Will Howard Total Passing Yards Prop Bet vs. Oregon - Rose Bowl

QB Will Howard threw for a season-high 326 yards and two touchdowns against the Ducks, but all his good work was undone when he slid on the last play of the game and time expired. Coming off a strong showing against Tennessee with 311 yards and two touchdowns against one interception, Howard will get a chance to make amends for the sequence he described at media day as a “nightmare.”

His passing yards total vs. Oregon for Wednesday's Rose Bowl game is coming in at Over/Under 247.5 at BetUS.

For some perspective, Dillon Gabriel's passing yards total for the Ducks is listed at 254.5.

Line Analysis

Oregon will be a rare +2.5 dog in this game.  The line has trended towards +2. Action was relatively balanced but leaning more towards the Ducks 55% to 60% most books.

Sagarin gives us a number of Buckeyes 1.19, indicating a slight overlay.

Overlays in this 2.5 to 2 range in college football have performed well on average for the underdog.

Comparables

*Overlays in the 1 to 2 margin range with a line that moves from 2.5 to 2 in college football.

*Overlays in the 1 to 2 margin range with spread of 2.5 in college football.

• Clemson +2.5 SMU (SMU -1.25) Slight Overlay) 65% of action on SMU. - Dog covers.
• South Carolina +2.5/+3 Clemson (Clemson 1.77 On The Money to an Overlay) - Dog covers.
• Alabama -3/-2.5 LSU (Alabama 1.63 Overlay) - Balanced Action. - Favorite covers.
• Texas A&M -3/2.5 South Carolina (Balanced Action) (Texas A&M 1.94 slight overlay). - Dog covers.
• TCU -2.5 SMU (SMU 1 Overlay) - Dog covers.
• Duke +2.5 Northwestern (Northwestern 0.81 Overlay) - Dog covers.
• Miami -2.5 Virginia ( home dog Virginia covers with Miami winning by just two points) Miami 0.65 Overlay of 2 points - Dog covers.

News and Notes for Wednesday's Rose Bowl Game

• Oregon is 12-1 when ranked No. 1 in the Associated Press Top 25, including a 6-0 record in road or neutral-site games.
• Ohio State is playing in the Rose Bowl for the 17th time and has a 9-7 record in the “Granddaddy of Them All,” including wins over Oregon in 1958 and 2010.
• The Buckeyes have the best scoring defense in the FBS, allowing 11.4 points per game. They also lead the nation in total defense (242.2) and pass defense (141.2).
• Gabriel and Howard are tied for second nationally in completion percentage at 73.2%.