Senate Winner Odds for Each State in November 2025

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The next time we run through a U.S. Senate election season in November 2026, we'll have 33 of the 100 seats up for grabs.

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There are also two special Senate elections for Florida and Ohio, bringing the grand total to 35.

BetOnline.ag has released wagering odds for each of the 35 elections, as well as the over/under margin of victory totals for each.

Additionally, there are odds for which party will control the Senate after the 2026 cycle, to which the Republicans are heavy favorites.

U.S. SENATE CONTROL - 2026

ODDS

IMPLIED PROBABILITY

Republicans

1/7

87.5%

Democrats

4/1

12.5%

STATE/PARTY

ODDS

MARGIN OF VICTORY

     

Alabama

   

Republicans

1/100

13.5%

Democrats

20/1

 
     

Alaska

   

Republicans

1/40

9.5%

Democrats

10/1

 
     

Arkansas

   

Republicans

1/500

29.5%

Democrats

65/1

 
     

Colorado

   

Democrats

1/40

13.5%

Republicans

10/1

 
     

Delaware

   

Democrats

1/200

24.5%

Republicans

40/1

 
     

Florida

   

Republicans

1/20

8.5%

Democrats

7/1

 
     

Georgia

   

Democrats

5/7

0.5%

Republicans

1/1

 
     

Idaho

   

Republicans

1/500

31.5%

Democrats

65/1

 
     

Illinois 

   

Democrats

1/50

14.5%

Republicans

12/1

 
     

Iowa

   

Republicans

1/10

6.5%

Democrats

11/2

 
     

Kansas

   

Republicans

1/40

12.5%

Democrats

10/1

 
     

Kentucky

   

Republicans

1/50

20.5%

Democrats

12/1

 
     

Louisiana 

   

Republicans

1/500

30.5%

Democrats

65/1

 
     

Maine

   

Democrats

20/33

0.5%

Republicans

5/4

 
     

Massachusetts 

   

Democrats

1/100

35.5%

Republicans

20/1

 
     

Michigan

   

Democrats

1/3

1.5%

Republicans

2/1

 
     

Minnesota

   

Democrats

1/15

8.5%

Republicans

6/1

 
     

Mississippi

   

Republicans

1/100

14.5%

Democrats

20/1

 
     

Montana

   

Republicans

1/40

14.5%

Democrats

10/1

 
     

Nebraska

   

Republicans

1/100

18.5%

Democrats

20/1

 
     

New Jersey

   

Democrats

1/200

24.5%

Republicans

40/1

 
     

New Mexico

   

Democrats

1/40

9.5%

Republicans

10/1

 
     

New Hampshire 

   

Democrats

1/7

4.5%

Republicans

4/1

 
     

North Carolina

   

Republicans

1/2

1.5%

Democrats

3/2

 
     

Ohio

   

Republicans

1/15

6.5%

Democrats

6/1

 
     

Oklahoma

   

Republicans

1/200

29.5%

Democrats

40/1

 
     

Oregon

   

Democrats

1/100

18.5%

Republicans

20/1

 
     

Rhode Island

   

Democrats

1/200

31.5%

Republicans

40/1

 
     

South Carolina

   

Republicans

1/40

12.5%

Democrats

10/1

 
     

South Dakota 

   

Republicans

1/500

33.5%

Democrats

65/1

 
     

Tennessee

   

Republicans

1/200

27.5%

Democrats

40/1

 
     

Texas

   

Republicans

1/10

7.5%

Democrats

11/2

 
     

Virgina

   

Democrats

1/40

14.5%

Republicans

10/1

 
     

West Virginia 

   

Republicans

1/200

38.5%

Democrats

40/1

 
     

Wyoming

   

Republicans

1/500

38.5%

Democrats

65/1

 

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