Eric Swalwell Odds to Be Elected Next California Governor in Free Fall Over Sexual Assault Allegations

Submitted by t c jackson on

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t c jackson

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Eric Swawell

On Monday, BetOnline updated numbers for the California governor race.

Eric Swalwell was the odds-on favorite at -300, followed by Tom Steyer (7/1), Matt Mahan (10/1) and Steve Hilton (12/1).

Steyer has now basically moved into the same spot following the news surrounding Swalwell.

Katie Porter, who was a favorite on November 3, 2025 at 3/1 odds, is now second on the board after having 18/1 odds Monday.

Swalwell's odds have come crashing down all the way to 11/1. 

Prominent supporters of Rep. Eric Swalwell’s campaign for California governor withdrew their support Friday after the congressman denied allegations that he sexually assaulted a woman twice, including when she worked for him.

Swalwell did not immediately heed those calls, saying on social media that he would spend the weekend with family and friends and share an update “very soon.”

“These allegations of sexual assault are flat false. They’re absolutely false. They did not happen, they have never happened, and I will fight them with everything that I have,” he said.

The San Francisco Chronicle reported Friday that a woman said Swalwell sexually assaulted her in 2019 and 2024. The newspaper reviewed text messages about the alleged 2024 assault and spoke to people whom she had told about it. She told the newspaper she did not go to police because she was afraid she would not be believed. 

The woman worked for Swalwell in 2019, when the first alleged assault occurred, and the 2024 assault allegedly occurred after a charity gala, the newspaper reported. She said in both cases she was too intoxicated to consent to sex.

The paper didn’t name the woman, and The Associated Press has not been able to independently verify her account and identity. Her lawyer declined to comment.

California Governor Odds

Tom Steyer 4/11 (-275)

Katie Porter 5/1

Matt Mahan 7/1

Steve Hilton 10/1

Eric Swalwell 18/1

Xavier Becerra 22/1

Chad Bianco 40/1

Elaine Culotti 50/1

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