What Are the Payout Odds if Litmus Test Wins This Year's Kentucky Derby?

Written by :

Don Shapiro

Published on :

30 April, 2026

Despite being a Bob Baffert-trained horse, Litmus Test pays $4100 for every $100 bet to win the Kentucky Derby
He finished poorly in his last start at the Arkansas Derby, coming in 7th place.

Bob Baffert has won more Kentucky Derby races (6) than any trainer entering a horse in this year's Kentucky Derby. But his Litmus Test is being treated like the red-headed step child of his two entries, the other being Potente at rather long odds as well (28-1).

Litmus Test will pay out 41-1 odds.

His 7th place finish at the Arkansas Derby, Litmus Test's most recent start, doesn't help his case.

Previous to that one, he finished 3rd in the Rebel Stakes.

Litmus Test's only graded race win was at the 2025 Los Alamitos Futurity (G2).

Martin Garcia is set to ride Litmus Test. He does have six Kentucky Derby starts but zero wins to show for it. Nonetheless, Garcia did finish 2nd with Lookin At Lucky in 2010.

Other Pros

Can run close to the pace or just off it.
Has been somewhat reliable in prep races leading up to this year's Kentucky Derby.
Litmus Test has a solid number of starts compared to lightly raced rivals.

Other Cons

Hasn’t clearly beaten top-tier contenders in a major prep.
Not elite speed figures.

2026 Kentucky Derby Odds to Win

All odds courtesy of BetOnline Here

As of Thursday April 30 8:28 am EDT

1. Renegade, Todd Pletcher, Irad Ortiz Jr., 5-1

2. Albus, Riley Mott, Manny Franco, 47-1

3. Intrepido, Jeff Mullins, Hector Berrios, 55-1

4. Litmus Test, Bob Baffert, Martin Garcia, 41-1

5. Right to Party, Kenny McPeek, Chris Elliott, 31-1

6. Commandment, Brad Cox, Luis Saez, 8-1

7. Danon Bourbon, Manabu Ikezoe, Atsuya Nishimura, 13-1

8. So Happy, Mark Glatt, Mike Smith, 6-1

9. The Puma, Gustavo Delgado, Javier Castellano, 5-1

10. Wonder Dean, Daisuke Takayanagi, Ryusei Sakai, 19-1

11. Incredibolt, Riley Mott, Jaime Torres, 37-1

12. Chief Wallabee, Bill Mott, Junior Alvarado, 14-1

13. Silent Tactic Mark Casse, Cristian Torres, (Scratched)

14. Potente, Bob Baffert, Juan Hernandez, 28-1

15. Emerging Market, Chad Brown, Flavien Prat, 13-1

16. Pavlovian, Doug O’Neill, Edwin Maldonado, 50-1

17. Six Speed, Bhupat Seemar, Brian Hernandez Jr., 46-1

18. Further Ado, Brad Cox, John Velazquez, 7-1

19. Golden Tempo, Cherie DeVaux, Jose Ortiz, 50-1

20. Fulleffort, Brad Cox, Tyler Gaffalione, 19-1

21. Great White, John Ennis, Alex Archard, 96-1

- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com

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