Finding Betting Value With Tuesday's Texas Primaries

Submitted by t c jackson on

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t c jackson

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Texas primary betting

Despite the long odds of incumbent Senator John Cornyn winning the GOP Texas primary runoff on Tuesday against Attorney General Ken Paxton, who is priced out of betting range, there is still some value to be had. 

Winning margin betting is available for Paxton.  

Pick your poison.  20% or higher is favored at +200, meaning a $10 bet pays $20 or a $100 bet pays $200. 

Want to be a little more conservative with your wager? 

15% to 17.49% pays out $400 for every $100 bet. 

An even more conservative option might be to bet the over/under of 15% margin of victory for Paxton at near even odds. 

Cornyn was the top vote-getter in the March 3 primary, but strong showings by two GOP challengers forced the four-term incumbent to Tuesday’s head-to-head matchup with Paxton, the second-place finisher who received President Donald Trump’s endorsement on May 19.

Trump's endorsement resulted in Paxton becoming a -2500 favorite to win Tuesday. 

Attorney General - Republican

Mayes Middleton          -1000

Chip Roy                       +550

 

Paxton Margin of Victory

Over/Under                  15%

 

Paxton Margin of Victory

20% or Higher               +200

15.00-17.49%               +400

17.50-19.99%               +400

12.50-14.99%               +500

10.00-12.49%               +900

7.50-9.99%                   +1200

Lose                             +1500

5.00-7.49%                   +1800

2.50-4.99%                   +2800

0-2.49%                        +4000

 

Texas-16: Republican Primary

Ken Paxton                   -4000

John Cornyn                 +1500

 

Texas-05: Democratic Primary

Chelsey Hockett            -700

Ruth Torres                   +400

 

Texas-16: Republican Primary

Adam Bauman              -600

Manuel Barraza            +350

 

Texas-33: Democratic Primary

Colin Alred                    -3000


  • T.C. Jackson, Gambling911.com 

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