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Both prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket had FBI Director Kash Patel exiting by month's end with an 11 percent chance, but news was breaking late Friday that Patel has been summoned to the White House next week. He reportedly cancelled a trip to see his girlfriend this weekend. We should note his chances of exiting by the end of August were sitting at 4% just yesterday at Kalshi.
The embattled FBI director was set to travel to Chicago in the Bureau's jet to see his girlfriend perform at a music festival when he was called in, sources tell MS NOW.
Carol Leonnig, Jacqueline Alemany, Ken Dilanian, Vaughn Hillyard and Jake Traylor of MS Now provided the following report shortly after 7 pm EDT Friday.
The precise reasons that Patel’s political bosses demanded he cancel his trip and report to the West Wing are unclear, but several people said top Trump deputies were disturbed by a range of actions by Patel. Some found it confounding that the FBI director was leaving town amid the recent revival of the war with Iran and alleged threats against the president’s life, according to a person familiar with efforts to help Patel rebuild trust with the White House. For this article, people spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss a sensitive internal matter.
Others cited two unforced errors by Patel that created bad optics for the Trump administration, the first being his early morning tweet bashing MS NOW for its coverage of his high-flying lifestyle, they said, in which Patel boasted: “my jet ski is gold plated…dumbass.”
At one point in late April, Patel's chances of leaving his post shot as high as 68% at Kalshi.
- T.C. Jackson, Gambling911.com