Odds Heavily Stacked Against WNBA Allowing Transgendor Woman Athlete

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It isn’t difficult to understand how the inclusion of transgender women in women’s sports has become such a polarizing and highly-politicized topic.

A clear example of this is Lia Thomas, who transitioned while swimming at the University of Pennsylvania. The impact on her performance metrics was stark:

  • Thomas was ranked 65th nationally in the men's 500-yard freestyle but rose to 1st in the women’s division.
  • Thomas was ranked 554th nationally in the men's 200-yard freestyle but reached 5th in the women’s division.

Fast-forward four years, and this topic has become a major flashpoint among WNBA players and coaches. The tension was recently on display when Indiana Fever guard Sophie Cunningham stated that biological men do not belong in women’s sports, while Minnesota Lynx head coach Cheryl Reeve wore a sideline t-shirt that read: Trans Kids Belong.

Recently, French basketball player Julie Tetart became the focus of the WNBA trans athlete debate. The 34-year-old center, who transitioned in 2021, entirely dominated France's professional basketball league last season, averaging an incredible 21.2 points and 20.2 rebounds per game.

Critics argue it’s time for the WNBA to "put its money where its mouth is." If the league is truly committed to transgender inclusion, one would expect Tetart to receive a roster spot next season.

However, oddsmakers at BetOnline Sports & Casino have already weighed in on the situation, establishing lines that suggest they do not believe the WNBA will ultimately back up its inclusive rhetoric.

The odds are heavily stacked against Tetart signing with a WNBA team next year. There are also odds for her season stats and where she would be selected in the draft (if eligible).

Finally, in response to Clay Travis’ challenge for the reigning WNBA champion Las Vegas Aces to play a boys’ high school state championship team, BetOnline has set odds for the matchup:

Las Vegas Aces +35

High School Team -35

The fact that the boys team is projected to win by 35 points tells you something. Here's what the oddsmakers had to say about the spread:

“There is just too much of a gap between the size and athleticism between the boys and women,” BetOnline Brand Manager Dave Mason said. “For example, the Aces' best player is A'ja Wilson, and she’s a 6-foot-4 center. Point guards and shooting guards on these high school boys teams are taller than the Aces’ center. The boys would be getting to the rim at will, and their defense would be suffocating.”

Here is the direct link to Julie Tetart odds: https://www.betonline.ag/sportsbook/futures-and-props/wnba-futures/specials

Will Julie Tetart be on 2027 WNBA roster?

Yes 50/1

(Note: Odds equate to a 2% implied probability)

Which round will ⁠Julie Tetart be selected during 2027 WNBA Draft?

Round 1 1/4

Round 2 4/1

Round 3 10/1

(Note: Odds equate to an 80% implied probability drafted in Round 1)

Julie Tetart PPG Average during 2027 WNBA season

Over/Under 18.5 ppg

Julie Tetart RPG Average during 2027 WNBA season

Over/Under 12.5 rpg

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