Rays vs. Yankees Free Baseball Pick

Submitted by Johnny Detroit on

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Johnny Detroit

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This Rays vs. Yankees free baseball pick is courtesy of Pregame.com.

The New York Yankees host the Tampa Bay Rays in a duel of the two best teams in baseball. Both teams are expect to play deep into October. The Yankees are -150 favorites, with a total of 9 runs expected tonight. This contest starts at 7:05 EDT.

You have to love the American League East. After the Yankees finished up a series with their bitter rival Red Sox, they move on to the best team in baseball. New York is more than 10 games over .500 this year, thanks to a 14-3 home record this year. The Yankees have struggled a bit of late though, as they are only 4-6 over their past 10 games. Part of their problem recently is the amount of runs they've allowed, as they are allowing 7 runs per game of late. Lefty Andy Pettitte will take the mound tonight to try to shut down the Rays. Pettitte is 5-0 this year, with an ERA of 1.79 and a WHIP of 1.15. New York is a perfect 7-0 in games started by Pettitte this season. The Yankees are 6-0 in Pettittes' last 6 home starts against a team with a winning record. The Yankees are 8-0 in Pettittes' last 8 starts with 4 days of rest. New York is 20-6 in Pettittes' last 26 starts overall.

The Yankees are 12-2 in their last 14 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600%. The Over is 6-0 in their last 6 against the American League East.

Tampa Bay has the best record in baseball, and there is absolutely no indication that they are going to fade. The Rays have a young, solid pitching staff that pitches deep into games and an offense that is relentless in their pursuit of runs. The Rays are up over 11 units this season if bet purely on the moneyline this year. Tampa Bay has also shown a knack for winning on the road, as they are currently 15-4 this year. Right-hander James Shields will take to the mound today, as he looks to continue his outstanding season. Shields is 4-1 this year, with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.30. Tampa Bay has won 6 of the 8 games started by Shields this season. The Rays are 4-1 in Shields' last 5 starts against the American League East. The Rays are 8-21 in Shields' last 29 road starts against a team with a winning record.

The Rays are 16-5 in their last 21 road games. The Under is 5-0 in their last 5 road games against a team with a home winning percentage greater than .600%.

Pregame.com projects the final score to be 5-4 in favor of the Tampa Bay Rays. The Rays +140 is the Side of the Day!

Johnny Detroit, Gambling911.com 

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