Alaska Senate Race Slight Tick in Favor of Mary Peltola Following Justice Dept Lawsuit News

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Alaska Senate Race Slight Tick in Favor of Mary Peltola Following Justice Dept Lawsuit News

ANCHORAGE, Alaska (Gambling911.com) - BetOnline on Friday shifted Alaska Democratic Senate candidate Mary Peltola odds from -325 to -350 while GOP incumbent Senator Dan Sullivan promises a payout of $275 for every $100 bet. 

President Donald Trump on Friday said he told his administration to file its lawsuit to block certification of the U.S. Senate race in Alaska if Republican Sullivan loses, kicking off what many fear could become a lengthy battle between the government and states over certifying an election where the president’s party is struggling.

“I’m the one that said do it,” Trump told reporters as he landed for a campaign rally in Florida.

The lawsuit, filed late Thursday, centers on one of the president’s longstanding complaints in the Senate race — the presence of a second candidate named Dan Sullivan, who Republicans fear could siphon away votes from the incumbent.

The second Sullivan, who is Daniel J. Sullivan from the tiny fishing community of Petersburg, has said he decided to run on his own, but Republicans have contended he is a Democratic plant to siphon votes away from their candidate. 

Alaska uses a ranked choice voting system whereby voters can actually vote for both Sullivans.  

Senate Odds as of October 21, 2026

All odds courtesy of BetOnline

StateCandidateOddsProbability
AlabamaBarry Moore (R)-500098%
Everett Weiss (D)+16002% 
Moore Margin of VictoryO/U 19.5%  
AlaskaDan Sullivan (R)+25024%
Mary Peltola (D)-32576% 
ArkansasTom Cotton (R)-250096%
Hallie Schoffner (D)+12004% 
Cotton Margin of VictoryO/U 15.5%  
ColoradoMark Baisley (R)+20001%
John Hickenlooper (D)-1000099% 
Hickenlooper Margin of VictoryO/U 22.5%  
DelawareMichael Katz (R)+40001%
Chris Coons (D)-2000099% 
Coons Margin of VictoryO/U 28.5%  
Florida (Special)Ashley Moody (R)-160094%
Angie Nixon (D)+8006% 
Moody Margin of VictoryO/U 7.5%  
GeorgiaMike Collins (R)+16002%
Jon Ossoff (D)-500098% 
Ossoff Margin of VictoryO/U 9.5%  
IdahoJim Risch (R)-180095%
Todd Achilles (I)+9004% 
David Roth (D)+100001% 
Risch Margin of VictoryO/U 18.5%  
IllinoisDon Tracy (R)+40001%
Juliana Stratton (D)-2000099% 
Stratton Margin of VictoryO/U 22.5%  
IowaAshley Hinson (R)-14058%
Josh Turek (D)+11042% 
KansasRoger Marshall (R)-18064%
Adam Hamilton (D)+15036% 
KentuckyAndy Barr (R)-400098%
Charles Booker (D)+15002% 
Barr Margin of VictoryO/U 20.5%  
LouisianaJulia Letlow (R)-400098%
Jamie Davis (D)+15002% 
MaineSusan Collins (R)+14536%
Troy Jackson (D)-17564% 
MassachusettsJohn Deaton (R)+20001%
Ed Markey (D)-1000099% 
Markey Margin of VictoryO/U 32.5%  
MichiganMike Rogers (R)+21527%
Abdul El-Sayed (M)-27573% 
MinnesotaMichele Tafoya (R)+7007%
Peggy Flanagan (D)-140093% 
Flanagan Margin of VictoryO/U 6.5%  
MississippiCindy Hyde-Smith (R)-100091%
Scott Colom (D)+6009% 
Hyde-Smith Margin of VictoryO/U 7.5%  
MontanaKurt Alme (R)-200095%
Seth Bodnar (I)+10004% 
Alani Bankhead (D)+50001% 
NebraskaPete Ricketts (R)-30075%
Dan Osborn (I)+24025% 
New HampshireJohn Sununu (R)+7007%
Chris Pappas (D)-140093% 
Pappas Margin of VictoryO/U 8.5%  
New JerseyJustin Murphy (R)+18001%
Cory Booker (D)-750099% 
Booker Margin of VictoryO/U 24.5%  
New MexicoLarry Marker (R)+20001%
Ben Ray Lujan (D)-1000099% 
Lujan Margin of VictoryO/U 20.5%  
North CarolinaMichael Whatley (R)+20001%
Roy Cooper (D)-1000099% 
Ohio (Special)Jon Husted (R)+18531%
Sherrod Brown (D)-22569% 
OklahomaKevin Hern (R)-500098%
N'kiyla Jasmine Thomas (D)+16002% 
Hern Margin of VictoryO/U 23.5%  
OregonDavid Brock Smith (R)+16002%
Jeff Merkley (D)-500098% 
Merkley Margin of VictoryO/U 23.5%  
Rhode IslandRaymond McKay (R)+20001%
Jack Reed (D)-1000099% 
Reed Margin of VictoryO/U 30.5%  
South CarolinaDarline Graham (R)-60086%
Annie Andrews (D)+40014% 
Graham Margin of VictoryO/U 4.5%  
South DakotaMike Rounds (R)-200095%
Brian Bengs (I)+10005% 
Rounds Margin of VictoryO/U 10.5%  
TennesseeBill Hagerty (R)-1000099%
Marquita Bradshaw (D)+20001% 
Hagerty Margin of VictoryO/U 21.5%  
TexasKen Paxton (R)+15535%
James Talarico (D)-18565% 
VirginiaBert Mizusawa (R)+20001%
Mark Warner (D)-1000099% 
Warner Margin of VictoryO/U 21.5%  
West VirginiaShelley Moore Capito (R)-1000099%
Rachel Fetty Anderson (D)+20001% 
Capito Margin of VictoryO/U 32.5%  
WyomingHarriet Hageman (R)-1000099%
James W. Byrd (D)+20001% 
Hageman Margin of VictoryO/U 33.5%  

  • T C Jackson, Gambling911.com 

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