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KALAMAZOO, Mich. (Gambling911.com) - In the Michigan-04 house race: Sean McCann (D) is now the favorite at -150. Bill Huizenga (R) was favored at -130 last week and is now +120, promising a payout of $120 for every $100 bet should he ultimately win. This race is still very much considered a toss up, at least in the oddsmakers eyes.
BetOnline revealed the significant shift in the odds Thursday, just days ahead of the Midterms election.
Non-partisan race rater Cook Political Report just shifted their prediction for Michigan’s 4th Congressional District to “Toss Up” on October 9.
Polls continue to show the two candidates effectively tied. President Donald Trump won this seat by 5.5 points in 2024.
The 4th district covers the majority of the city of Kalamazoo and its immediate surrounding metro area (including Portage).
While it only contains a portion of Kalamazoo County as a whole, the lines drawn by the Michigan Independent Citizens Redistricting Commission specifically carved out the heavily populated urban and suburban core of the Kalamazoo-Portage area to anchor the eastern side of the district. The more rural, eastern parts of Kalamazoo County fall into the neighboring 5th district.
Midterm House Odds as of October 29
All odds courtesy of BetOnline here
| District | Candidate | Odds | Probability |
| Alabama-02 | Rhett Marques (R) | -150 | 60% |
| Shomari Figures (D) | +120 | 40% | |
| Arizona-01 | Jay Feely (R) | +300 | 20% |
| Amish Shah (D) | -400 | 80% | |
| Arizona-02 | Eli Crane (R) | -225 | 69% |
| Jonathan Nez (D) | +185 | 31% | |
| Arizona-06 | Juan Ciscomani (R) | +600 | 9% |
| JoAnna Mendoza (D) | -1000 | 91% | |
| Arkansas-02 | French Hill (R) | -500 | 83% |
| Chris Jones (D) | +375 | 17% | |
| California-04 | Mike Thompson (D) | -170 | 63% |
| Eric Jones (D) | +140 | 37% | |
| California-07 | Doris Matsui (D) | -200 | 67% |
| Mai Vang (D) | +160 | 33% | |
| California-14 | Aisha Wahab (D) | -2000 | 95% |
| Melissa Hernandez (D) | +1000 | 5% | |
| California-22 | David Valadao (R) | +750 | 6% |
| Randy Villegas (D) | -1500 | 94% | |
| California-34 | Angela Gonzales-Torres (D) | -325 | 76% |
| Jimmy Gomez (D) | +250 | 24% | |
| California-40 | Ken Calvert (R) | -105 | 44% |
| Young Kim (R) | -125 | 56% | |
| Colorado-03 | Jeff Hurd (R) | -250 | 71% |
| Dwayne Romero (D) | +200 | 29% | |
| Colorado-04 | Lauren Boebert (R) | -160 | 62% |
| Eileen Laubacher (D) | +130 | 38% | |
| Colorado-05 | Jeff Crank (R) | -155 | 61% |
| Jessica Killin (D) | +125 | 39% | |
| Colorado-08 | Gabe Evans (R) | +550 | 10% |
| Manny Rutinel (D) | -900 | 90% | |
| Florida-04 | Aaron Bean (R) | -700 | 88% |
| LaShonda Holloway (D) | +450 | 12% | |
| Florida-07 | Ryan Elijah (R) | -300 | 75% |
| Bale Dalton (D) | +240 | 25% | |
| Florida-09 | Dan Green (R) | -300 | 75% |
| Darren Soto (D) | +240 | 25% | |
| Florida-11 | Joe Strada (R) | -800 | 89% |
| James Pericola (D) | +500 | 11% | |
| Florida-13 | Anna Paulina Luna (R) | -300 | 75% |
| Leela Gray (D) | +240 | 25% | |
| Florida-14 | Kathy Castor (D) | -250 | 71% |
| Mike Beltran (R) | +200 | 29% | |
| Florida-21 | Brian Mast (R) | -900 | 90% |
| James Martin (D) | +550 | 10% | |
| Florida-22 | Casey Askar (R) | +175 | 32% |
| Pia Dandiya (D) | -215 | 68% | |
| Florida-25 | Jared Moskowitz (D) | -325 | 76% |
| Scott Singer (R) | +250 | 24% | |
| Florida-27 | Maria Elvira Salazar (R) | -215 | 68% |
| Elliott Rodriguez (D) | +175 | 32% | |
| Indiana-05 | Victoria Spartz (R) | -600 | 86% |
| J.D. Ford (D) | +400 | 14% | |
| Iowa-01 | Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R) | +800 | 6% |
| Christina Bohannan (D) | -1600 | 94% | |
| Iowa-02 | Lindsay James (D) | -300 | 75% |
| Joe Mitchell (R) | +240 | 25% | |
| Iowa-03 | Zach Nunn (R) | +450 | 12% |
| Sarah Trone Garriott (D) | -700 | 88% | |
| Kansas-02 | Derek Schmidt (R) | -500 | 83% |
| Don Coover (D) | +375 | 17% | |
| Kentucky-06 | Ralph Alvarado (R) | -105 | 44% |
| Zach Dembo (D) | -125 | 56% | |
| Maine-02 | Paul LePage (R) | -140 | 58% |
| Matt Dunlap (D) | +110 | 42% | |
| Michigan-04 | Bill Huizenga (R) | +120 | 40% |
| Sean McCann (D) | -150 | 60% | |
| Michigan-07 | William Lawrence (D) | -300 | 75% |
| Tom Barrett (R) | +240 | 25% | |
| Michigan-10 | Christina Hines (D) | -250 | 71% |
| Michael Bouchard Jr. (R) | +200 | 29% | |
| Minnesota-01 | Brad Finstad (R) | -160 | 62% |
| Jake Johnson (D) | +130 | 38% | |
| Missouri-02 | Ann Wagner (R) | -225 | 69% |
| Fred Wellman (D) | +185 | 31% | |
| Montana-01 | Aaron Flint (R) | -130 | 57% |
| Sam Forstag (D) | +100 | 43% | |
| Nebraska-01 | Mike Flood (R) | -400 | 80% |
| Chris Backemeyer (D) | +300 | 20% | |
| Nevada-02 | David Flippo (R) | -165 | 62% |
| Teresa Benitez-Thompson (D) | +135 | 38% | |
| New Jersey-02 | Jeff Van Drew (R) | -275 | 73% |
| Zack Mullock (D) | +215 | 27% | |
| New Jersey-07 | Thomas Kean Jr. (R) | +1000 | 5% |
| Rebecca Bennett (D) | -2000 | 95% | |
| New York-01 | Nick Lalota (R) | -400 | 80% |
| Chris Gallant (D) | +300 | 20% | |
| New York-02 | Andrew Garbarino (R) | -400 | 80% |
| Patrick Halpin (D) | +300 | 20% | |
| New York-17 | Mike Lawler (R) | +125 | 39% |
| Cait Conley (D) | -155 | 61% | |
| New York-21 | Anthony Constantino (R) | -225 | 69% |
| Blake Gendebien (D) | +185 | 31% | |
| North Carolina-01 | Don Davis (D) | -700 | 88% |
| Laurie Buckhout (R) | +450 | 12% | |
| North Carolina-03 | Greg Murphy (R) | -160 | 62% |
| Raymond Smith Jr. (D) | +130 | 38% | |
| North Carolina-07 | David Rouzer (R) | -400 | 80% |
| Kim Hardy (D) | +300 | 20% | |
| North Carolina-09 | Richard Hudson (R) | -250 | 71% |
| Richard Ojeda (D) | +200 | 29% | |
| North Carolina-11 | Jamie Ager (D) | -1000 | 91% |
| Jennifer Balkcom (R) | +600 | 9% | |
| North Carolina-13 | Brad Knott (R) | -180 | 64% |
| Paul Barringer (D) | +150 | 36% | |
| Ohio-07 | Brian Poindexter (D) | -800 | 89% |
| Max Miller (R) | +500 | 11% | |
| Ohio-09 | Marcy Kaptur (D) | -400 | 80% |
| Derek Merrin (R) | +300 | 20% | |
| Ohio-10 | Mike Turner (R) | -300 | 75% |
| Kristina Knickerbocker (D) | +240 | 25% | |
| Ohio-15 | Mike Carey (R) | -200 | 67% |
| Don Leonard (D) | +160 | 33% | |
| Pennsylvania-01 | Brian Fitzpatrick (R) | -135 | 57% |
| Bob Harvie (D) | +105 | 43% | |
| Pennsylvania-07 | Ryan Mackenzie (R) | +600 | 9% |
| Bob Brooks (D) | -1000 | 91% | |
| Pennsylvania-08 | Rob Bresnahan (R) | +450 | 12% |
| Paige Cognetti (D) | -700 | 88% | |
| Pennsylvania-10 | Scott Perry (R) | +375 | 17% |
| Janelle Stelson (D) | -500 | 83% | |
| South Carolina-01 | Jenny Costa Honeycutt (R) | -210 | 68% |
| Nancy S. Lacore (D) | +170 | 32% | |
| Tennessee-09 | Brent Taylor (R) | -500 | 83% |
| Justin Pearson (D) | +375 | 17% | |
| Texas-09 | Alex Mealer (R) | -350 | 78% |
| Leticia Gutierrez (D) | +275 | 22% | |
| Texas-15 | Bobby Pulido (D) | -900 | 90% |
| Monica De La Cruz (R) | +500 | 10% | |
| Texas-23 | Brandon Herrera (R) | -165 | 62% |
| Katy Padilla Stout (D) | +135 | 38% | |
| Texas-34 | Vicente Gonzalez (D) | -1200 | 92% |
| Eric Flores (R) | +650 | 8% | |
| Texas-35 | Johnny C. Garcia (D) | -275 | 73% |
| Carlos De La Cruz (R) | +215 | 27% | |
| Virginia-01 | Rob Wittman (R) | +160 | 33% |
| Shannon Taylor (D) | -200 | 67% | |
| Virginia-02 | Elaine Luria (D) | -1400 | 93% |
| Jen Kiggans (R) | +700 | 7% | |
| Virginia-05 | John McGuire (R) | -160 | 62% |
| Tom Perriello (D) | +130 | 38% | |
| Washington-03 | Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D) | -1200 | 92% |
| John Braun (R) | +650 | 8% | |
| Washington-05 | Michael Baumgartner (R) | -800 | 89% |
| Carmela Conroy (D) | +500 | 11% | |
| Wisconsin-01 | Bryan Steil (R) | -130 | 57% |
| Mitchell Berman (D) | +100 | 43% | |
| Wisconsin-03 | Rebecca Cooke (D) | -700 | 88% |
| Derrick Van Orden (R) | +450 | 12% |
- T C Jackson, Gambling911.com
