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OAKLAND PARK, Fla. (Gambling911.com) - Gambling911.com continues to monitor recent shifts in polling and the corresponding odds.
Ohio Governor's Race
ActiVote’s October 31, 2026 Ohio Governor poll finds that Democrat Amy Acton leads Republican Vivek Ramaswamy by 1.6%. The poll was in the field between October 16 and October 31 (median field date of October 24). The poll was among 400 likely midterm voters and has an average expected error of 4.9%. This poll shows the race much closer than the numbers we've seen in recent days.
BetOnline does not have this one close when it comes to the odds. Acton was priced at -500 as of Sunday morning with Ramaswamy promising a payout of $375 for every $100 bet.
In the Texas Senate race,James Talarico was coming in at 48% and Paxton 45% in the Kreate Strategies survey, contrasting sharply with the Quantus survey that went viral here at Gambling911.com on Friday showing Paxton +1.
Some House races worth noting, the most recent individual House polls reported by RealClearPolling are from October 30.
District Leader Margin
California 1 McGuire (D) +15
California 6 Pan (D) +12
California 22 Villegas (D) +10
California 48 von Wilpert (D) +8
Pennsylvania 7 Brooks (D) +6
Bob Brooks (D) is a -1000 favorite over Ryan Mackenzie (R). MacKenzie pays $600 for every $100 bet should he end up winning.
This is notable as the district tends to lean more Republican and did elect Trump by a 3.4 percent margin.
Republican Ryan Mackenzie flipped the district in 2024, defeating Democratic incumbent Susan Wild by approximately 4,000 votes.
The district's history shows considerable ticket-splitting and competitive elections.
Polymarket
Polymarket Refunds 95% of Wallets Impacted By Recent Compromise
Polymarket's October 30 postmortem says hackers compromised a third-party performance-monitoring script that loaded on its website. The malicious replacement script exploited active user sessions to sell positions and transfer funds from affected wallets. The company said it had refunded 95% of affected wallets by the afternoon of October 30. The additional $1.2 million covers trading losses associated with forced sales and the trading suspension, according to Polymarket.
The company also disclosed that it:
- Removed the compromised script and cleared website caches.
- Reset all active login sessions.
- Introduced stronger controls for third-party scripts.
- Referred the incident to law enforcement.
Gambling News (Pennsylvania)
Hilarious Halloween Costume - Man Dress as Closed Skill Game Machine
With Pennsylvania taking measures to snuff out skill games, one man dressed as a skill game, complete with signage warning of its closure. The Pennsylvania Supreme Court ruled on June 15, 2026, that these machines are subject to the state's gambling laws, even when they incorporate an element of skill.
Sweepstakes Casinos
Sweepstakes Casino Ban Takes Effect in Oklahoma Today (November 1)
Oklahoma's new restrictions targeting dual-currency sweepstakes casinos take effect today. Operators have been withdrawing from the market ahead of enforcement. The development could have implications for sweepstakes operators, affiliates and promotional partners. As Gambling911.com has reported, even influencers pushing these sweepstakes casinos in Oklahoma could face consequences under the new law.
Chumba Casino
Chumba Introduces Chumba Spins to Oklahoma Residents as Sweepstakes Casino Ban Goes Into Effect Today
Chumba Casino is reportedly phasing out promotional Sweeps Coin play in Oklahoma with that state's sweepstakes casino ban going into effect today. Chumba has emailed players about Chumba Spins, a separate horse-racing-based real-money gaming product. The new promotion is said to offer a 100% match on a first purchase for invited Oklahoma players through a closed beta, with a waitlist for others. This represents a different operating structure involving Game Play Network rather than Chumba Casino's usual VGW sweepstakes model.
Kalshi
Kalshi Election Markets Staggering
Oddschecker reports substantial cumulative trading volume in Kalshi's 2026 congressional control markets:
House control market $170M, Reported cumulative volume $111M.
Kalshi
Kalshi Major Trading Shift on UK Rejoining EU
Tech Insider reports that a Kalshi contract on whether the United Kingdom will rejoin the European Union by January 1, 2035, jumped approximately 36 percentage points in 24 hours, reaching a quoted 46%. The article attributes the movement to comments by Andy Burnham.
Kalshi
Kalshi Challenges Missouri Regulators
A newly surfaced industry headline reports that Kalshi is suing the Missouri Gaming Commission over a cease-and-desist order. The dispute concerns the regulatory treatment of prediction markets. This follows criminal gambling charges filed against Kalshi and its founders in Utah on October 28.
Bet365
Bet365 Pauses Refer-a-Friend Promo
Action Network reports that bet365 has paused its refer-a-friend program across the United States, while the program remains available in Canada. Previously, the promotion awarded $50 in bonus bets to both the referring customer and the new customer after qualifying requirements were met. The suspension does not affect bet365's new-customer welcome offers, according to the report. No date has been announced for the referral program's return.
Macau
Macau Gaming Revenue Falls Sharply
Macau casinos reportedly generated MOP 21.68 billion in October gross gaming revenue, down 10% year over year.
- Chris Costigan, Gambling911.com Publisher
