Free Baseball Pick June 11, 2010

Submitted by Johnny Detroit on

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Johnny Detroit

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This free baseball pick for June 11, 2010 is courtesy of Pregame.com.  Get more free picks here at Pregame.com.

The Minnesota Twins will host the Atlanta Braves in an interleague series featuring 2 division leaders. Both the Twins and the Braves are playing great baseball, so this series should be alot of fun. The Twins are -125 favorites, with a total of 7.5 runs expected tonight at 8:10 EDT.

Minnesota is simply dominating their division, as they currently have a 5 game lead in the American League Central. Minnesota is 35-24 on the year, with two impressive streaks that stand out amongst the rest. The Twins are 20-9 in home games this year, and are 17-8 inside their own division this year. It's been 6 games since the Twins have scored fewer than 4 runs in a game. Minnesota is +5.54 and +2.65 units respectively both SU and on the RL this year. Lefty Francisco Liriano will look to continue his fine season, as he is 5-3 with an ERA of 3.10 and a WHIP of 1.27 this year. The Twins are 6-1 in their last 7 games against a right-handed starter. Minnesota is 40-13 in their last 53 interleague games against a right-handed starter. The Twins are 7-1 in Liriano's last 8 interleague starts. The Twins are 6-2 in Liriano's last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Minnesota is 1-6 in Liriano's last 7 home starts against a team with a winning record.

The Twins are 16-5 last 21 interleague home games against a team with a winning record. The Under is 12-4-1 in their last 17 home games against a team with a losing road record. Shortstop J.J. Hardy is listed as Questionable tonight with an injured wrist.

Atlanta hasn't been a good road team this year, so it will be interesting to see how they fare in Minnesota. Despite only being 15-20 on the road, the Braves are 34-26 overall and lead the National League East. The Braves continue to get solid offensive production while getting sound performances from their pitching staff. Atlanta is +4.99 and +3.18 units both SU and on the RL respectively this season. The Braves will send P Tim Hudson to the mound today, and he's been nothing short of brilliant this year. Hudson is 6-1 with an ERA of 2.44 and a WHIP of 1.18 this year. The Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 games against a left-handed starter. Atlanta is 1-6 in their last 7 interleague road games against a left-handed starter. Atlanta is 5-1 in Hudson's last 6 starts overall. The Braves are 1-5 in Hudson's last 6 starts as a road underdog. The Braves are also 1-13 in Hudson's last 14 interleague starts.

The Braves are 7-2 in their last 9 games against a team with a winning record. The Over is 6-1 in their last 7 road games against a team with a winning record. Right-Fielder Jason Heyward is listed as Probable with a leg injury.

Pregame.com projects the final score to be 5-4 in favor of the Minnesota Twins. The Over 7.5 is the Total of the Day!

Johnny Detroit, Gambling911.com

 

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