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This Dodgers vs. Braves free baseball pick is courtesy of Pregame.com. Get all the latest free picks and handicapping information at Pregame.com here.
The Atlanta Braves host the Los Angeles Dodgers this afternoon on TBS at 1:35 EDT. The Braves are trying to keep pace with San Diego for top billing in the National League. The Dodgers are trying to stay in contention within their own division, yet see themselves falling further and further behind. The Braves are -140 home favorites today, with a total of 7.5 runs expected.
Atlanta has won 7 of their past 10 games overall, and lead the National League East division by 3 games. Atlanta can thank their fans for their support, as they are a dominant 40-15 SU at home this year. Atlanta is +10.47 and +14.46 units both SU and on the RL respectively this season. Pitcher Jair Jurrjens will make the home start this afternoon, as he is 4-4 with an ERA of 4.16 and a WHIP of 1.26 this season. The Braves are 6-1 in their last 7 games against a team with a winning record. Atlanta is 4-1 in their last 5 games against a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. The Braves are 20-6 in their last 26 home games against a right-handed starter. The Braves are 4-0 in Jurrjens' last 4 home starts against a team with a winning record. Atlanta is 15-5 in Jurrjens' last 20 starts against a National League West. The Braves are 1-4 in Jurrjens' last 5 Sunday starts overall.
The Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 games against the National League West. The Over is 7-3 in their last last 10 Sunday games.
Los Angeles is struggling right now, as they're on a losing streak at the worst time of their season. The Dodgers have fallen a full 10 games behind the National League West division lead. Los Angeles is 59-57 SU this year, including 23-33 SU on the road. Offensively, the Dodgers have only scored 16 runs in their 5 games against the Braves this season. Los Angeles is -8.79 units and -12.01 units both SU and on the RL this year. Veteran pitcher Vicente Padilla will make take the mound today, as he is 6-3 with an ERA of 3.32 and a WHIP of 1.00 this season. The Dodgers are 5-11 in their last 16 games overall. Los Angeles is 6-18 in their last 24 road games against a team with a winning record. The Dodgers are 1-6 in their last 7 road games against a right-handed starter. Los Angeles is 6-2 in Padilla's last 8 starts during game 3 of a series. The Dodgers are 2-7 in Padilla's last 9 road starts.
The Dodgers are 2-12 in their last 14 road games overall. The Under is 10-4 in their last 14 games against a right-handed starter.
Pregame.com projects the final score to be 5-3 in favor of the Atlanta Braves. The Braves -140 is the Side of the Day!
