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This Oregon State vs. TCU free pick is courtesy of Pregame.com.
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The TCU Horned Frogs host the Oregon St. Beavers in what very well might be the most anticipated game on Saturday. TCU has 2 simple goals this year, go undefeated and win the BCS National Championship. The Beavers are also expected to have a great year, as their main goal is winning the Pac-10 conference and competing in the Rose Bowl. This game will be on ESPN at 7:45 EDT. The Horned Frogs are -13.5 favorites tonight, with a total of 50.5 points expected.
TCU has national title aspirations, as they field one of the most complete, balanced teams in the country. The Horned Frogs start the season ranked 6th in the nation. Last year TCU started the season ranked 16th and started the year 12-0 before losing their final game of the season. That loss to Boise St. in the Fiesta Bowl has stuck with this TCU team all offseason, so they enter this season very hungry. From a line perspective, tonight's game will be one of the toughest games TCU plays all year. TCU will be the listed favorite in each game they play, with only 1 game expected to be as a single digit favorite. QB Andy Dalton is the leader of this team, as he is the reigning Mountain West Offensive Player of the Year. Dalton was 8th in the Nation lasy ear in pass efficiency with a 151.8 rating. Defensively, the Horned Frogs will remain one of the fastest teams in the nation. TCU led the nation in total defense last year, allowing only 239.7 YPG. The scariest thing for opposing teams this year? TCU is expected to be even better this year overall, as they attempt to make a run at a BCS Championship.
The Horned Frogs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in September. The Under is 4-0-1 in the Horned Frogs last 5 neutral site games.
Oregon St. is one of a few teams that believe they can win the Pac-10 Championship this year. For the Beavers to accomplish their stated goals this year, it's important for them to get off to a good start. The Beavers tend to live by the rule of starting slow, and finishing strong. This season, the Beavers need to get off to a flying start. Oregon St. returns 16 starters from a successful season last year, almost ending with their 1st Rose Bowl berth in 45 years. Offensively, the Rodgers brothers (James and Jacquizz) accumulated 4,290 YDS last season. Much will be expected of them again this season, especially while the Beavers get accustomed to a new QB. The offensive line for Oregon St. is one of the strengths of this team, as they return 4 starters. Defensive stalwart Stephen Paea leads the Oregon St. defense, as he turned down NFL stardom to return for his Senior season. The Beavers are a very well balanced team, that is also very well coached. Head Coach Mike Riley is one of the sharpest minds in college football. For the Beavers, tonight's game will show them exactly what type of team they are going to be this season.
The Beavers are 8-21-1 ATS in their last 30 games in September. The Under is 10-4 in the Beavers last 14 non-conference games.
Pregame.com projects the final score to be 24-17 in favor of the TCU Horned Frogs. The UNDER 50.5 is the Total of the Day!
