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This BYU vs. Utah free pick is courtesy of our friends at Pregame.com.
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The Utah St. Aggies welcome the BYU Cougars tonight, as the Aggies get a nationally televised game on ESPN starting at 8:00 EDT. Utah St. team has proven to be dangerous this year, and they are facing the Cougars at the perfect time. BYU is really struggling, and there doesn't appear to be a quick fix for them. The Cougars are 5 point road favorites tonight, with a total of 51.5 points expected.
Utah St. very well could be the best 1-3 SU team you've never heard of. The Aggies are a dangerous group that play a unique brand of offensive football. In their season opener, they nearly upset Oklahoma as 34 point underdogs. Since that Week 1 ATS win, the Aggies have failed to win a game ATS since. Utah St. played their worst game of the season last week on the road against San Diego St, ultimately losing 7-41 SU. The Aggies typically playing Mountain West conference teams tough, as they are 6-2 ATS in their past 8 MWC matchups. The Aggies have moved the ball at will this year, yet are only averaging 23.3 PPG. QB Diondre Borel is the playmaker and leader of this Aggies team, as he makes plays with both his arm and feet. Borel didn't score a TD in his last game against the Aztecs, so one can only assume he will bounceback against BYU. The Utah St. defense has given up 41 PTS in each of their past 2 games, a trend that must change quickly. The Aggies are giving up 32.5 PPG this year, the 19th worst in the nation. Utah St. has played BYU tough the past 2 seasons, winning each contest ATS as double digit underdogs.
The Aggies are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games against the MWC. The Under is 7-1-1 in their last 9 games in October.
BYU has already seen their season slip away, a shock considering just how consistent this program has been through the years. The Cougars have been bad on both sides of the ball, and as a result have lost their past 3 games SU my multiple TD's. This Cougars offense is only averaging 15 PPG, the 5th worst in the nation. For a team with so many problems and question marks, the last thing this team needs is to play on a short week. BYU typically struggles in October, going 1-8 ATS in their past 9 October games. The Cougars also traditionally struggle against the WAC, going 2-7 ATS in their past 9 matchups with the conference. This contest against Utah St. marks the final game before Mountain West Conference play for BYU. Considering this is their final year in the conference, the Cougars are likely to get their opponents best shot. Because of their struggling offense, the Cougars have played to the Under in each game this season.
The Cougars are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Over is 8-2 in their last 10 road games against a team with a losing home record.
Pregame.com projects the final score to be 27-24 in favor of the Utah St. Aggies. The Aggies +5 is the Side of the Day!
