NLCS Concludes Tuesday Night With Phillies or Diamondbacks Advancing to World Series

Written by:
Don Shapiro
Published on:
Oct/24/2023

Whichever team advances in the NLCS Tuesday night will head to the World Series and face off against the Texas Rangers.

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Line Movement and Betting Volume for the Diamondbacks-Phillies

Arizona extends this series to 7 games following a big win Monday night.  They place Brandon Pfaadt on the mound and Philadelphia counters with Ranger Suarez.  The Phillies are a -155 favorite in this one. The total opened at 8.5 and had dropped down to 8 most books by Tuesday morning with 62% of the action on the UNDER.

79% of the moneyline action was on Philadelphia, down from 90%.  We've seen the number as low as -155 and as high as -180.

Looks Who's Starting

Brandon Pfaadt (3-9, 5.72 ERA) starts for Arizona.

Don't let the regular season record fool you. Pfaadt recorded a career-high nine strikeouts over 5 2/3 shutout innings on Thursday in the Diamondbacks’ win over the Phillies in Game 3 of the NLCS.  Prior to that he fired 4 1/3 shutout innings on Wednesday in the Diamondbacks’ win over the Dodgers in Game 3 of the NLDS.

The last four games he has started have resulted in wins for Arizona.

Ranger Suarez (4-6, 4.18 ERA) will take to the mound for Philadelphia.

In 93 appearances against Suarez, the Diamondbacks have only managed to hit a single home run.  They have 23 hits and 8 RBIs. 

Suarez posted seven strikeouts over 5 1/3 scoreless innings on Thursday in the Phillies’ loss to the Diamondbacks in Game 3 of the NLCS.

Rangers Advance

As noted, the winner of this game goes on to play the Texas Rangers in this year's World Series.

Adolis García powered the Rangers to their first World Series since 2011.

García homered twice and drove in five runs as the Texas Rangers reached their first World Series in 12 years with an 11-4 blowout of the Houston Astros in Game 7 of the AL Championship Series on Monday night.

Corey Seager got the Rangers started with a long homer in a three-run first inning. Nathaniel Lowe also went deep to give Texas — one of six major league teams without a World Series title — its first berth in the Fall Classic since consecutive trips in 2010 and 2011.

It's easy to forget that this is a Rangers team that endured some rough patches back in August that included an 8-game slide and a 4-16 stretch.

Rangers vs. Phillies Game and Player Prop Bets

Team to Score First Wins
Total Hits O/U 16.5
Total Runs+Hits+Errors in 1st Inning O/U 2.5
Either Pitcher to throw a Complete Game
Team to Score Last
Perfect Game
Blown Save in game
Team with Most Hits
Will there be a score in 1st Inning
Will there be Extra Innings
A Hit in every inning
A Run scored in every Inning
Either Pitcher to Throw a No-Hitter
Team to Score First

More Player Props

Rot     Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) Total Outs     Moneyline
1701     Over  11½  Outs     Ev
1702     Under  11½  Outs     -140
Must Start
Rot     Ranger Suárez (PHI) Total Outs     Moneyline
1703     Over  10½  Outs     -150
1704     Under  10½  Outs     +110
Must Start
Rot     Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) Total Strikeouts     Moneyline
1705     Over  4½  Strikeouts     +110
1706     Under  4½  Strikeouts     -150
Must Start
Rot     Ranger Suárez (PHI) Total Strikeouts     Moneyline
1707     Over  2½  Strikeouts     -180
1708     Under  2½  Strikeouts     +140
Must Start
Rot     Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) Total Earned Runs     Moneyline
1709     Over  1½  Earned Runs     -140
1710     Under  1½  Earned Runs     Ev
Must Start
Rot     Ranger Suárez (PHI) Total Earned Runs     Moneyline
1711     Over  1½  Earned Runs     -110
1712     Under  1½  Earned Runs     -130
Must Start
Rot     Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) Total Hits Allowed     Moneyline
1713     Over  3½  Hits Allowed     +120
1714     Under  3½  Hits Allowed     -160
Must Start
Rot     Ranger Suárez (PHI) Total Hits Allowed     Moneyline
1715     Over  3½  Hits Allowed     -120
1716     Under  3½  Hits Allowed     -120
Must Start
Rot     Lourdes Gurriel (ARI) Total Bases     Moneyline
1821     Over  1½  Bases     +145
1822     Under  1½  Bases     -190
Must Start. Single = 1B, Double = 2B, Triple = 3B, Home Run = 4B.
Rot     Ketel Marte (ARI) Total Bases     Moneyline
1823     Over  1½  Bases     +110
1824     Under  1½  Bases     -150
Must Start. Single = 1B, Double = 2B, Triple = 3B, Home Run = 4B.
Rot     Gabriel Moreno (ARI) Total Bases     Moneyline
1825     Over  1½  Bases     +170
1826     Under  1½  Bases     -240
Must Start. Single = 1B, Double = 2B, Triple = 3B, Home Run = 4B.
Rot     Alec Bohm (PHI) Total Bases     Moneyline
1827     Over  1½  Bases     +120
1828     Under  1½  Bases     -160

- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com

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